PlusMinus partner

PlusMinus brokerservice. Ihr Leben. Ihr Betrieb. Ihre Versicherung . Seit über 15 Jahren sind wir Ihr Partner auf Augenhöhe - fair, kompetent, unabhängig. Wir beraten Sie gerne persönlich: 0474 / 530 540 . Freitag 08:30-13:00. Montag-Donnerstag 08:30-12:00 14:30-18:00. Haben Sie Fragen? Plusminus wil ook een plaats bieden aan naasten, omdat zij van groot belang kunnen zijn voor goede zorg. Wanneer je naastbetrokkene bent van iemand met een bipolaire stoornis dan zit je met veel vragen en ben je op zoek naar informatie of steun, mogelijk ook voor jezelf als je voor je zieke naaste zorgt (mantelzorger). Plusminus ist das Wirtschaftsmagazin des Ersten Deutschen Fernsehens. PlusMinus brokerservice. Vostra vita. Vostra azienda. Vostra assicurazione Da più di 15 anni siamo il Vostro partner - leali, competenti, indipendenti. Contattateci al numero: 0474 / 530 540. You’re on a biochemical high, desperate to see your partner for the next encounter. It’s a joyful experience. Then, inevitably, those early feelings subside, and you slowly see your partner for what they are – a regular person with flaws and hangups. This point is crucial in a relationship. Plusminus Partners on 1995 perustettu kalusteiden ja valaisimien maahantuontiin ja projektisisustamiseen erikoistunut yritys. Edustamme korkealaatuista eurooppalaista muotoilua ja tuotevalikoimamme on laaja. Toimitamme kalusteita ja valaisimia ravintoloihin, toimistokohteisiin sekä muihin julkitiloihin. Plusminus, leven met bipolariteit - Plusminus is voor en ... [email protected] Računovodski servis kontakt. O nas. Že od leta 1999 zanesljivo opravljamo svoje delo ter smo zaupanja vreden poslovni partner našim naročnikom. Velik poudarek dajemo strokovnemu znanju in nenehnemu izpopolnjevanju, redno spremljamo spremembe zakonodaje, strokovno literaturo ter se udeležujemo izobraževanj, pridobljeno ... Start-up advice. Starting a new company can be a stressful and exhilarating experience, especially if you’re new to running a business. Plus Minus have a range of accounting services to guide you through the whole process, from putting together your business plan to registering your company and running the day-to-day. Having us on your side from the get-go also helps us to tailor our ... Plusminus Partners. Hämeentie 13 B, 00530 Helsinki [email protected] +358 10 505 4730 . Myyntinäyttelymme on avoinna sopimuksen mukaan. Oven edessä on myös vapaata pysäköintitilaa.

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2020.10.21 11:45 freespins1 Spin Casino - free spins, scratch cards, no deposit bonus

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submitted by freespins1 to u/freespins1 [link] [comments]

2020.10.20 18:58 XMG_gg Buy & Sell / Offers & Requests / Used XMG and SCHENKER laptops

Hi everyone,
due to popular demand, this thread will be able to host your offers and requests for 2nd hand XMG, SCHENKER and TUXEDO laptops.
Offering such a thread is a bit of a slippery slope. Market places like eBay have evolved over years and follow many legal customer protection guidelines. In this thread, we do not have any commercial interest in the buying and selling of 2nd hand products - we merely try to help to connect users with each other under our naïve assumption that people will be fair to each other and not abuse the mutual trust that this platform is based on.
As stated again further down in the Rules, we refer the right to close and remove this thread if we find that it is not working as intended.

Statement on Schenker Technologies GmbH's warranty for 2nd hand customers

Whoever buys a new XMG or SCHENKER laptop has the benefit of at least 2 year warranty period with the manufacturer (that's us). The exact length of the warranty is specified on the original invoice. The details on the warranty can be read here. Here is a key excerpt from our warranty:
The warranty is device-bound and transferable within the warranty period. The person entitled to assert warranty claims under the warranty declaration of Schenker Technologies GmbH is the person entitled to use the product given proof of the date of purchase or delivery by means of the original invoice / the original delivery note and the warranty document.
Technically speaking, you need the original invoice (either from Bestware or one of our commercial resellers) in order to make a warranty claim. But this is only pro-forma, because:
In other words: 2nd hand buyers will be able to continue to use the original device warranty. The warranty period starts with the original invoice date (or rather the date when the original user first received the product, which is usually a couple of days after the invoice date). The warranty period does not reset (i.e. does not start from the beginning) in the case of a resale. For example: if a laptop with 24 months warranty is re-sold after 3 months, it will have 21 months of warranty remaining.
If the warranty is void due to any action stated under the section "EXCLUSIONS" in the warranty agreement, it does not matter whether such actions are caused by the original owner or the 2nd hand owner. Our support and service team will treat every device solely based on the condition of the device itself.
For additional warranty notice regarding DIY thermal repaste, please read this thread.
PRO TIP: if a product's serial number can't be read anymore on the laptop itself, it can still be found on the mainboard - usually nearby or under the memory modules.

Statement on Spare Parts and Keyboards with other languages

2nd hand buyers are always able to request additional spare parts for fair prices from our support team. These include but are not limited to: batteries, power supplies, service covers, RAM, SSDs, screws.
The most critical part will probably be the keyboard: we offer our laptops with up to 25 different keyboard languages. The ideal case would be if the buyer can accept the keyboard language on the device as sold by the seller. When this is not possible, the buyer can later request a replacement keyboard from us. Generally speaking:

Encouragement: Second-hand is OK

Let me add my personal thoughts: I buy a lot of 2nd hand stuff. Most of my camera lenses, my current mobile phone (rooted + LineageOS of course), my first business laptop (refurbished...), most of my paperback books - all 2nd hand. Technology does not get magically worse just because another meatbag™ has unsealed the box or ran some of his software on the device. As long as the device is cleaned, dust is removed from the heatsinks, breadcrumbs between the keycaps removed, the SSD is formatted (removed all partitions), any 2nd hand device is as good as new.
One could also see a second-hand device as something that has gone through an extended burn-in / stress-test period. Most defects on technology occur either within the first few weeks of the products lifetime or they occur long after the warranty period expired. By buying a second-hand laptop in good condition, you are buying a product that has already stood the test of real-world usage during those crucial first few weeks or months. If the original owner has treated the device well (no fall damage, gentle with the hinges and I/O ports, no scratches on the display, no burn marks in the palm rest), I don't see any reason why a second-hand device would be any less valuable (minus a few percentage points for the warranty that has started to expire) than a brand-new one.
Algorithms used in legal and insurance cases, based on statistics do not agree with my assessment. Check out this example calculator here (select "Laptop PC" in the dropdown menu). When playing around with such calculators, consider who might have influenced the statistics (including court cases) on which such calculators are based on. For example, insurance companies have an interest in playing down the value of used goods so they can minimize the payments they make in case of lost or stolen devices. For example, according to the generalized calculator linked above, a laptop loses 13% of its value after the first month of usage. From what? Was it drained of its Mana while installing Windows Updates and playing Destiny 2?
A better approach: if the second-hand laptop is still available as new, check out the current pricing in our online shop or any reseller and make your own judgement, how much you would deduct from that value for any time period of usage? Keep in mind that any device warranty and our exceptional support and service will be transferred to the new owner, as explained above. Make a fair price and good luck with your bargains!

Credit and Introduction to Rules

The following rules (both General, Additional and Recommendations) have been inspired by the rules of the German Hardwareluxx Market Place. However, it's not a 1:1 carbon copy of those rules. The rules stated below are carefully re-written, selected and sorted for the specific purpose of this thread. Please read them carefully word-for-word!

General Rules

  1. We provide the communication platform (via Reddit) but do not assume any liability for your purchases and sales.
  2. We would like to point out that we are under the assumption that German law applies to this forum and therefore a warranty claim among private individuals also exists for private 2nd hand sales. For more information about the German law, read this article. If the seller or buyer reside in other countries, those respective laws apply as well. However, there is no unified pan-European law for second-hand goods from private individuals (source). Inform yourself about your responsibilities and rights as a private buyer or seller in your country and in the country of the seller.
  3. This thread is only for private buyers/sellers without commercial agenda.
  4. Offers should include all information that is relevant to buyers. More information is better. Please see the section "How your offer should look like" below for details.
  5. Third parties are not allowed to comment on offers unless they have a genuine interest in taking up the offer. In other words: do not badmouth other users just because you think their prices are too high/too low or their config is unreasonable. The judgement on which offer or request is attractive is solely up the the individual buyeseller. Caveat emptor applies.
  6. Bids/offers should be made in the thread and not by PM or Chat. This is to ensure fairness and transparency and avoid last-minute "change of minds". After making your bid/offer in the thread, you can jump to PM or Chat to arrange transaction details (payment method, delivery method).
  7. Binding minimum prices (MP) must be stated in offers. These prices shall be determined by the Seller. Potential customers are not allowed to offers prices that are lower than the minimum price. Exception: If an offer is advertising a Windows license, the seller must clearly indicate whether he intents to give the license key to the 2nd hand buyer. The seller should act with good faith and not use the license key on any other device after the sale. Buyers are free to ask the sellers to take the license key out of their offer for a private, negotiable rebate.
  8. If the seller receives multiple at or above the minimum price (MP) from multiple buyers, the seller can chose which buyer he will sell to at the seller's discretion. The date (who comes first) is not the deciding factor.
  9. Alternatively to Rules 5 to 7, sellers can use 3rd party auction platforms for their offers. For example, they can put up the product page on an auction platform such as eBay and link (advertise) to their auction here in this thread. In such a case, potential buyers can make their offers within the framework of the 3rd party auction platform - they do not have to state their offer publicly in this thread. The question on which buyers makes the deal will be resolved under the rules of the specific 3rd party auction platform. In such a case, this thread will only be used to point to the auction page.
  10. We reserve the right to close or remove this thread at any time if we find that it is not working as intended. We also reserve the right to modify the rules at any given time. Any changes to the rules will be documented in an updated info section below.

Additional Rules

  1. Requests or offers for services or laptops/computers/products from other brands (including from other BTO resellers) are prohibited. Only laptops that are branded XMG, SCHENKER or TUXEDO are allowed here. This includes laptops with the "de-branded" display lid. See the rating label sticker on the bottom of the laptop for brand information. Alternatively, see the original invoice.
  2. Offered articles must be within your own sphere of influence at all times. In other words: do not offer devices that are not in your personal possession.
  3. It is not permitted to offer goods that have been purchased for profit. We reserve the right to delete posts in which new goods are offered on suspicion. In other words: no scalpers.
  4. If you are offering defective items, this must be clearly stated in the post.
  5. Hardware that has been operated outside the specifications provided by the manufacturer is generally excluded from any manufacturer's warranty or guarantee. Offering such hardware in the marketplace with a guarantee is deliberate deception. A purchase contract would thus be contestable at any time and could be revoked.
  6. After a sales has completed, the original offer should not be deleted by the seller. Instead, all posts should be left intact to create a public record. Users who are under the suspicion of editing or removing their content in an abusive manner (to spread confusion, controversy or avoid responsibility) risk to be banned from the sub-reddit.
  7. If an offer or request has expired (changed your mind or already sold), please edit your post with this kind of update: "/edit: offer expired/sold".
  8. Sales of Evaluation Samples (ES) will be removed and the user will be banned from the sub-reddit.
  9. Payment transactions may only be made in currencies recognized by the European Central Bank. In other words: no cryptocurrencies, sorry.
  10. We reserve the right to permanently block users from our sub-reddit who are noticed with blatant violations of these rules.


  1. Find out about the trading partner before you buy and clarify all questions in advance. The users' Reddit history might be a good starting point.
  2. As these are private sales, the seller can exclude a warranty in advance in his offer. However, this does not exempt him from delivering the goods in the described condition. In the case of private sales there is also no legally prescribed 14-day right of withdrawal (no refund period).
  3. We generally recommend that the goods be sent insured, so that in the event of a dispute the dispatch is documented.
  4. After confirmation of the trade, ask for the complete address and telephone number of your trading partner in addition to the bank details.
  5. If there are delays in processing, this does not necessarily mean the worst. Leave your trading partner a reasonable waiting period and try to contact him. Many things can be clarified much more easily with one call.
  6. If a system comes with Windows pre-installed, buyers are advised that they might want to format the SSD/HDD and reinstall Windows from scratch for security reasons to avoid any risk of leftover (unintentional) malware or computer virus. The same applies to the USB stick containing the device drivers.
  7. For sellers who purchased their laptop originally from a German online shop (such as bestware or other German resellers), you can declare to transfer your "Gewährleistungsanspruch" to the next 2nd hand buyer. This will give the buyer additional legal protection for future warranty cases on top of the manufacturers warranty. Here is a example form for such a declaration.

How your offer should look like

Offers from sellers should include all specifications of the product, including key components and BTO options and keyboard layout/language. Ideally, it should be a line-to-line copy from the original invoice including the Product ID (e.g. XFU15L19 for XMG FUSION 15) and warranty period.
Offers must include the original invoice date, so that buyers can calculate how much warranty is going to be left on the device. Sellers must include information in which country they currently reside (see General Rule 2).
If an offer is advertising a Windows license, the seller must clearly indicate whether he intents to give the license key to the 2nd hand buyer. The seller should act with good faith and not use the license key on any other device after the sale. Buyers are free to ask the sellers to take the license key out of their offer for a private, negotiable rebate.
The offer should also include information about the condition of the device: are protective sheets removed, are there any damages or scratches, is the item in reasonably clean condition? If the laptop has any damages, they should be documented with pictures which are linked in the post.
To make an offer more attractive, the seller should post pictures of the product and all accessories from all angles regardless of its condition.
Any suspicious system behavior such as unexpectedly high temperatures, low battery life, strong coil whine, performance issues, instability, crashes, electrical issues should be documented in the offer. The offer may also state the absence of such issues. Sellers are advised to troubleshoot any technical issues with this thread or by contacting our e-mail support before making any resale offers.
If the original owner has done a DIY thermal repaste or any other mechanical or thermal modifications on the device, this should be stated in the offer as well. This can be a tricky situation because the potential buyer now needs to evaluate remotely whether or not the original owner did a good job with his or her repaste. It is advised that the original owner adds additional benchmark and temperature information to his offer. In the end, the long-term temperatures and performance will be the judge of the quality of such a DIY repaste. Regarding our warranty policy on DIY repaste, see this tread. (tl;dr: if we find during an in-house inspection of a warranty claim that a repaste has done more harm than good, we might void the warranty and respond with a reasonable but "not for free" repair offer.)
The offer should include information about the presence or absence of all accessory items such as user manual, USB stick with drivers, original carton, mousepad, adapters, screws, cleaning cloth and power cable including the connction to the wall socket (Mainland EU, Switzerland and UK have different plugs).
Ideally, the condition of the accessory and carton should also be documented with pictures in the offer.
Offers should include an information whether or not the device will come with a fresh and clean Windows installation, no matter if purchased with our without license key. Buyers are advised that they might want to format the SSD/HDD and reinstall Windows from scratch for security reasons to avoid any risk of leftover (unintentional) malware or computer virus. The same applies to the USB stick containing the device drivers.

How to post and react to an unspecific "looking for" request

If you can't find a suitable offer, maybe you might find a seller by posting a request. Obviously, requests can be more vague than offers. You should include a list of XMG or SCHENKER models that might fall within your interest plus your minimum CPU, GPU, SSD and RAM config and your budget.
If a potential seller finds your request, his or her counter-offer should follow the rules stated above. In other words: offers that are in reaction to a "looking for"-request are in no way treated differently from offers that were originally posted to find a buyer.
Both buyers and sellers are required to do their due dilligence to make the transaction fair and pleasant for everyone involved.

How to use the thread

Pictures can be uploaded and linked from any image hosting service.
Replies can be sorted either by "Hot" or by "New". If you sort by "New", the newest replies will be displayed at the top.
If you have any questions regarding the rules, please send me a PM or a Reddit Chat request. Keep responses to the thread solely for requests, offers and bids.
Alternatives to this thread: According to General Rule #9, you are allowed to link to your offers on 3rd party auction platforms and market places from this thread. Here is a list of placed where you can try to sell your second-hand laptop.
If you posted an offer or request to any such group and if your offer aligns with the guidelines in this thread, feel free to post a link to your offer below. If your offer or request has expired (either because you changed your mind or you already sold), please edit your post with this kind of update: "/edit: offer expired/sold".
If you have additional recommendations (especially ones that are specific to your region) or any other feedback, send me a PM or Reddit Chat request.
Thank you for your fair participation!
// Tom
submitted by XMG_gg to XMG_gg [link] [comments]

2020.10.14 17:34 can_wien07 True Hoop(Henry Abbot) - Ranks Steph Curry in his Top 5 all time

Stephen Curry has the best Real Plus-Minus scores of all time. The stat only goes back to 2013, but since then, a period of peak-LeBron, Steph’s numbers are incredible. Over six years, Steph was first in the whole league four times, often by a lot. The other two years, he was second out of the whole league, his worst rank on record. In 2014-2015 he had the best-ever score of +10.92, then in 2015-2016, his score was even better, at +11.37.
This is the numbers saying: That guy is fucking incredible in ways we barely understand.
Steph might be scrawny and he might have grown up with privilege and he might not have a lot of the things we once assumed would win games. But boy does he win some fucking games.
LeBron’s best ever season was +8.63.
Was Steph riding Kevin Durant’s coattails? Durant before, during, and after playing with Steph will help answer that. But I’ll say this: Durant has been excellent, at times as high as third in the league, but has never had anything close to Steph’s effect on lineups. His last year in Oklahoma City his RPM was his highest on record, at 6.49. That year Steph was 11.37. When they played together for three years, both of their numbers slipped—Steph’s to numbers between six and eight, Durant’s to numbers between two and five.
That doesn’t tell me everything I need to know, but it does account for every second he was on the court, how his team did, and who else was on the court trying (and failing) to stop him. It does credit rebounds and punish turnovers. It tells me that there was a race to win the game, and this dude won it. If we dig way deeper, zero in, do video analysis, I already know we will not find long stretches where he hurt his team. If we did, the numbers wouldn’t be like this. He is OK on defense, which is not true of every scorer, and he melts the offensive record book into a gooey puddle.
Stephen Curry is 32 years old. There’s close to zero chance his best basketball is yet to come. I would suggest that he will either partner with a superstar and win more titles, or not and not. (This puts him very close to the LeBron schedule; we saw LeBron without a superstar teammate last season.) In other words, Steph’s like MJ in the mid-1990s. His most brilliant work is behind him, and either is or is not enough to earn him a place in the pantheon. We don’t have to wait to know his key accomplishments:
Set the all-time record by winning 73 out of 82 games.
Won three titles in four years during peak LeBron.
Led a team that outscored playoff opponents by 245 points over 602 minutes when he was on the floor in 2017.
Changed the meaning of the words “point guard” forever.
Made it not just OK—but required—to shoot 3s off the dribble.
Set the record for the best Real Plus-Minus ever.
Made a generation of young players love shooting.
There will be a lot of “but he doesn’t …” responses. And maybe they’re brilliant; I’d like to hear them.
But I’d just add—if he’s so bad, how come he’s so good?
Fun exercise: As Jarod pointed out, my top five are one player from every position. Just imagine if, somehow, the lineup of Stephen Curry, Michael Jordan, LeBron James, Tim Duncan, and Wilt Chamberlain could suit up together and play a game. First, I don’t care if you have five Teen Wolves, this team will win. Picture it. The final score, the highlights, the email newsletters the next morning. Be honest. Even in your imagination Steph’s probably the high scorer, right? Out of this lineup? Are you sure he doesn’t belong?
The memo of Steph’s career: Stay curious! We are still learning about this game. It might be that what works isn’t exactly that we thought it was.
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2020.10.11 00:05 jessemadnote Why I believe the Flames upgraded their Defence

I'll say right off the bat that I love Brodie. He's a great player and I'm hoping he has tons of success in Toronto. Hell in a vacuum I'd take Brodie over Tanev. Brodie has far superior analytics and is a much silkier skater than Tanev. But this ain't a vacuum. The Flames have 4 talented D men 23 or younger on their roster. That is the factor that makes all the difference for me.
Brodie has only played more than 150 minutes with 3 D partners in the past three years:
Partner Rel Corsi % with Player Corsi % without Brodie Off Zone Starts
Giordano 3.99 4.32 -2.58
Hamonic -2.03 -0.97 -2.31
Stone -3.82 -4.35 2.15
As you can see Brodie absolutely needs Giordano. They didn't even trust running him out there with Andersson or Hanifin for anything significant. Brodie is the perfect partner for Gio but then that leaves all the rookies fending for ourselves.
On the other hand Gio does not need Brodie. The Gio Andersson pair had a 55.61 Corsi % and were +6 in 432 minutes. So we have a solid pair that we can rely on analytically. So that brings us to the second pair: Tanev and Hanifin. What will happen will it be an absolute crater in terms of possession? Time will tell but I wouldn't worry to much.
Tanev has 46.1% Corsi for for the past three years but when a player is considered defensively on point in most circles but is getting run over on possession, I think it's important to look at the factors:
A) The Canucks were the 6th worst team in the NHL in possession through that stretch with 47.99%. B) Tanev started 43% of his shifts in the 0zone. His main two partners were Edler who has clearly lost a step and Quinn Hughes who is a raw rookie. C) The top forwards Tanev shared ice with in the past three years: Draistl, McDavid, Graudreau, Monahan, Scheifele, Wheeler, Schenn, Marchand, Bergeron. Notice a pattern? The other teams top line every single game. D) Despite the poor advanced stats, Tanev is regularly a positive player in plus-minus with only one minus season in his career on a terrible Canucks team for a decade. Plus minus aint perfect but if you're in your own zone against top competition and your outscoring them that seems solid to me.
Overall I think this is a great move for the Flames. I believe Markstrom, Hanifin and Valimaki are the biggest beneficiaries of this acquisition and I'd call them pretty important players. We talked about guys who are going to lay their bodies on the line and go through a brick wall come playoff time. Tanev is that guy. I'm not saying the contract will be an A+ but I think this is the type of move that will help our new wave of Dmen get acclimatized to the NHL and hopefully breakout like Hughes did.
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2020.10.09 14:51 ZandrickEllison Offseason Blueprint: the Los Angeles Lakers may win the title tonight, but their ambition won't end there

The NBA season is nearly over: be it 1, 2, or 3 more games left. With the offseason looming around the corner, we've been looking ahead with our OFFSEASON BLUEPRINT series. In each entry, we preview some big decisions and make some recommendations for plans of attack along the way.
Like the NBA, we've officially come to the end of the road and to our final team, the Los Angeles Lakers.
step one: know it will never be All Quiet on the Western Front
The Los Angeles Lakers have plenty of fans, but also plenty of people who enjoy watching them struggle (some even run their own sports websites.) It feels like they've been a punching bag for almost a decade now. Even when the team landed a coup and signed LeBron James, there were plenty of skeptics and haters picking at the roster and fanning the flames of front office tension. Even when the team followed that up with a trade for Anthony Davis, there were STILL doubters and haters camped at the gates.
At the end of the day, LeBron James and company only had one way to shut them up: win.
Now, no one can criticize them anymore. Whatever they did to get here -- it worked. LeBron James deserves a huge amount of credit for this presumptive title (no offense, Miami) but there's plenty to go around. Anthony Davis reminded the world that he's a friggin' beast. Frank Vogel did a great job getting the defense to play on a string, especially on the perimeter. The maligned bench with Rajon Rondo, Markieff Morris, and Kyle Kuzma even stepped up in a major way on the road to the Finals.
While the team may be drenched with champagne by the time you read this, they still won't be satisfied. LeBron James went back to Cleveland to win a title. He didn't go to L.A. and recruit Anthony Davis to win a title. He wants to win multiple titles. He may get his 4th ring after this year, which means he'll only be 2 away from catching Michael Jordan. If he can do that, then there won't be any doubt about his GOAT status. And honestly, it's possible. James still looks like a top 5 player (if not 1 overall), and Anthony Davis is in the heart of his prime. With a decent supporting cast around them, they're going to be in title contention for the next two or three years.
However, the Lakers can't get complacent. They deserved this title, but they didn't exactly beat Murderers' Row to get here. In fact, their playoff opponents had the weakest seed value and weakest W-L percentage of any title team since 2000. Next season may be tougher sledding. The L.A. Clippers could be a real threat with better coaching and better rotations. The Milwaukee Bucks could be a real threat with better health. Health permitting, the Brooklyn Nets have the star power and the depth to be a force themselves. It's going to be a dogfight next season. The Lakers still may be the top dogs in that fight, but they're going to have to scrape and claw to get that bone again.
step two: convince your free agents that It's a Wonderful Life
LeBron James is a champion for player empowerment, but that concept is going to put his L.A. Lakers in a precarious position this offseason. Some decisions with be out of their hands. The team has an inordinate amount of player options for next season, with 5 separate players having the right to opt "in" or "out" of their contracts. Let's take a look at each of those one individually.
The most important, of course, will be Anthony Davis. He has the choice whether to opt in to his $28.7M salary. It's weird to say, but $28.7M is a bargain. Davis is a 27-year-old superstar. He deserves the new max and then some. From the Lakers' perspective, the only question will be timing the extension in the best interest of Davis and the team as a whole. If they wait until next offseason to give him a full max, they may have some more wiggle room in salary to bring in extra free agents (in Offseason 2021, not Offseason 2020.) Perhaps they can convince AD to wait until then to accrue more years. At the same time, uncertainty isn't their friend. If the Lakers disappoint next season and LeBron James hits a wall (unlikely, but theoretically possible) then perhaps Davis doesn't want to stay tethered to this older roster for the long haul. Perhaps his relationship with James -- great now -- bleeds into resentment over time. Who the heck knows. Superstar pairings don't always end with "happily ever after." Even that remote concern would make me push for a max extension for AD ASAP.
The second most important player option will be Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. When the Lakers first signed them, it raised some eyebrows and potential tampering conspiracy theories. These days, his $8.5M player option looks like a good value. KCP shot well this year and played hard on defense. Effectively, he looked like the player that Danny Green was supposed to be. Your hope here is that the Lakers have built enough goodwill with KCP and his representatives to make this a friendly negotiation. Whether that means he opts in, or whether that means he signs a long-term deal, it's a relationship that needs to continue.
step three: but convince others to ride off like Shane
Conversely, there are a few player options that the team may try to talk players out of taking. Avery Bradley missed the bubble for personal reasons, but the Lakers' backcourt did just fine without him. At this stage in their careers, Alex Caruso is probably better at the 3+D guard role. Still, it's going to be up to Bradley whether to return or not. He can opt in to his $5.0M player option. The value is OK in the broadest sense, but perhaps the Lakers are rooting for him to test the market elsewhere. The Lakers should take a hard line here and not offer him extra years; if Bradley leaves to chase a long-term deal, so be it. If he opts in, he may be used as a potential trade chip.
Meanwhile, JaVale McGee has a $4.2M player option himself. McGee started 68/68 games in the regular season, but he didn't always look like their best option in the playoffs. As he ages (now 32), he'll continue to struggle with certain matchups. I don't think McGee can match that $4M anywhere else, so trying to convince him to opt out may be a losing proposition. Again, if McGee opts in, then the Lakers need to consider utilizing his salary as a potential trade piece.
Some of those decisions -- whether they want to keep Avery Bradley and JaVale McGee -- may hinge on some other free agents on the team. Backup PG Rajon Rondo has his own player option of $2.7M. All season long, I'd been talking about Rondo as a potential liability for the team. Instead, he justified some of that "Playoff Rondo" talk. Between Rondo and Caruso, you'd prefer Caruso getting extended minutes. Between Rondo and Bradley, it's more of a debate. Rondo deserves more than $2.7M, so I expect him to opt out. Presumably, he appreciates the role and limelight here in L.A. and wouldn't play hardball. If he's amenable to a short-term, reasonable deal, then you'd want to keep him in house. If his playoff hype spirals into outsized offers (anything over $6M or so) then you should thank him for his service and wish him well.
The Lakers should treat backup C Dwight Howard (an unrestricted free agent) in a similar way. Now 34, he's become a role player. Moreover, his role -- as the more traditional center -- is no longer a valuable one either. Still, he's pretty good at that role -- arguably better than JaVale McGee. The team shouldn't over-invest in this one-two punch though. If Howard wants to re-sign for a bargain basement deal, great. If he expects a mid-sized contract or an extra year, then he may be on the move again. For both Rondo and Howard, I'd stand firm on 1 year deals. However, the team can potentially add in "team option" years on top of that. The purpose would be less to entice them into staying and more to make them potential trade chips (in terms of salary matching) later on down the road.
The Lakers will have more free agents to discuss. Markieff Morris is an interesting one; he looked like a shell of himself after some injuries, but he showed signs of life in the postseason. If that's legit, then he could potentially be a good rotational player for the team (when they go "small" with AD at the 5.) The verdict from team doctors will be crucial to determining his value. Alternatively, vets like J.R. Smith and Dion Waiters don't appear to have any value at all. Fortunately, they don't have player options either.
step four: solve the mystery of The Third Man
All season long, we heard that the Lakers would need a third star to emerge if they were going to win the title. Kyle Kuzma never got there, but it didn't matter. Perhaps we've just defaulted into a more familiar era of the NBA. Shaq and Kobe won without another "star." Michael Jordan and Scottie Pippen won without another "star" (Dennis Rodman was more of an ultra role player.) With Kevin Durant removed from Golden State, perhaps the bar has been lowered back to reasonable heights for NBA title teams.
Still, the Lakers need to figure out who Kyle Kuzma is, and what his role should be. He averaged 16-6 as a rookie, but showed some signs of a "good stats / bad team" kind of player. That fear hasn't gone away. Since then, Kuzma's shot 30% and 32% from three over the following two years, and played poor defense overall. ESPN real plus/minus metric graded him as a -0.4 and -0.7 defensive impact, while box plus/minus had him at -1.2 and -1.0. That same BPM metric graded him below replacement level overall (-0.2 VORP).
Kuzma has played OK in these playoffs, but he hasn't had a major role. In fact, his minutes per game is down to 23.2 in the postseason so far, with 0 starts drawn. It's clear that Frank Vogel and the team don't believe he's the 3rd best player on the team. He may not even be the 4th or 5th best player.
You may ask: who cares? Kuzma isn't a world beater, but the Lakers beat the world anyway. Still, it's an important question hanging over their heads. Kuzma is under contract for one more year, and then will enter restricted free agency (at a time when they will be a lot of cap space out there.) Based on name value, he's going to get a decent contract.
If the Lakers don't believe he's worth decent money, it may be time to trade him now. (Realistically, the time to trade him was last offseason, but what can ya do.) Kuzma's $3.5M salary is easy to move, and the team can attach other contracts like McGee, Bradley, and Quinn Cook ($3M) to match a deal anywhere from the $3M-$15M range if need be.
What can the Lakers get for Kuzma on the open market? It's hard to tell. He's a polarizing name, so it may depend on whether their trade partner reads reddit or not. I'd call up Detroit and ask about Luke Kennard. If Houston's blowing it up, I'd ask about Robert Covington. If Minnesota's locked into Anthony Edwards at # 1, maybe they'd be open to trading Malik Beasley in a sign and trade. If you want to play dirty, you can tell Portland that Gary Trent Jr. (newest client of Klutch) is going to sign with the Lakers next season no matter what, so they may as well recoup something for him now. Fair? Ethical? Ehh. But hey, it's proven to be effective before.
step five: encourage others to hunt for the Treasure of the Sierra Madre
The Lakers don't have much cap space this offseason, but that's not a major problem. They're not going to have to list job openings on -- available players are going to flock to them. The most obvious reason to join the Lakers would be to chase rings. However, it goes deeper than that. There's not a lot of teams with cap space this offseason, but there are plenty with space next season.
If you're a free agent who's not getting a lot of attention, there's one great way to get attention: play with LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers. You can inflate your stock for next offseason, when hopefully you cash in.
If I ran the Lakers, my first call would be to a veteran like Darren Collison. Collison took the season off to pursue his faith, but reportedly he may return next year. If so, he'd be a dream fit for this Lakers' rotation. Collison can run the point when LeBron James rests, but he can also serve as a complementary spacer. The former UCLA standout has become a very reliable shooter -- hitting over 40% from deep in his last four seasons. He's undersized and sometimes outmatched on D, but the team has Alex Caruso ready to match up with bigger guards. Collison's skill set would merit $10+ million in a good market, but perhaps NBA teams are going to want to see him "prove it" after his extended absence. If that's the case, the Lakers can thank their lucky stars and Jehovah for delivering him into their laps.
Other veterans who may be drawn to the Lakers like a moth to the flame would include: the underrated E'Twaun Moore (NO) and likable vet Courtney Lee (DAL). Moe Harkless (NYK) could probably get more elsewhere, but he may decide to bet on himself and inflate his price for next season.
Since Anthony Davis still prefers playing PF, depth at center will be more important for the Lakers than other teams. As mentioned, JaVale McGee will probably be back (barring a trade) and Dwight Howard may be as well. If not, the team could try to recruit a player who wants to boost their stock. Nerlens Noel (OKC) could benefit from the spotlight like that; better yet, his agent happens to be some dude named Rich Paul.
Overall, the Lakers need to keep pushing and trying to improve, be it through free agency, through trades, or through the draft (where they have the # 28 pick.) This team may have been good enough to win the title, but as mentioned, one title isn't going to satisfy this star, this team, and this fan base. Hollywood's all about excess, and the goal will be to overindulge over the next few years.
other offseason blueprints
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2020.10.08 16:57 Past-Swimming-9010 Where to put proceeds from house sale for 5 years

Hi All,
I see a lot of similiar posts but seems to not be a clear answer for me yet. I have just sold my house, moving in with my partner. I have about $50k from the house sale and want to put it somewhere that makes sense. I have already put like $12k in my 401k and will max out my IRA as well. A few friends and family with finance backgrounds say put this in a high-yield savings and be done.
Since i'm not looking at buying a new house in the next 3-5 years, does it make sense to put in a more conservative investment portfolio? I can let it swing a plus or minus 10% at any time and not freak out. I just think it's a real dis-service to my money to just sit it in a 1% growth area when the market may grow faster....obviously COVID and things are risky but looking for ideas.

Other info: no other debts, just a car loan that i'm paying just fine on, overall plan to continue to save my emergency fund to 6 months now and just grow my savings outside of this "windfall"
submitted by Past-Swimming-9010 to personalfinance [link] [comments]

2020.10.04 15:45 LofTW Whatever

There's a message popping up after a few seconds asking for subscription to continue, so I copied and pasted the article here.
ESSAY Why Europe Wins Everyone writes off the European Union as dull and prone to fracture. But the last decade shows that Brussels is smarter than Beijing, London, Moscow, and Washington.
Several months ago, when COVID-19 struck Europe, headlines portrayed overflowing hospitals in Italy, policy mistakes in Britain and Sweden, mismanaged senior care in Belgium, and misbehaving youth in Spanish discos. Two months later—after European governments imposed lockdowns, mask-wearing, testing, and tracing—the incidence of new cases plummeted. By July, vacationing Europeans were strolling through Piazza Navona in Rome, attending the opera in Salzburg, and dining in Paris.
Americans are not welcome to cross the Atlantic, however, because the United States has failed to match Europe’s resilience. Instead, new cases trended upward through the summer, leaving the average American 10 times more likely to contract the coronavirus than the average European.
Europe’s success is not coincidental. Studies show that countries with higher income equality and sound expert-based government regulation—areas in which European countries excel—tend to combat disease better. They are also desirable paces to live and do business: In a global poll, European countries grabbed seven of the top 10 spots on Forbes’s 2019 list of the nations with the best reputation for social, economic, and political success, whereas the United States barely cracked the top 40.
The coronavirus pandemic is only one of many examples of a general tendency among journalists, analysts, diplomats, and politicians to underestimate Europe.
The coronavirus pandemic is only one of many examples of a general tendency among journalists, analysts, diplomats, and politicians to underestimate Europe. For a generation, observers have bet against Europe’s future, arguing that it lacks the high growth, centralized political institutions, domestic legitimacy, and hard military tools required to have an effective global presence. Many observers confidently predicted that the euro would collapse, enlargement from 15 to 28 members would fail, and voters would reject European ideals. Yet the pundits were proved wrong: None of this came to pass.
Nowhere is Europe’s ability to confound the skeptics clearer than in foreign policy. Over the past decade, Europeans have faced four epochal foreign-policy challenges involving the strongest great-power competitors and most powerful forces of globalization in today’s world. In 2014, Russia attacked Ukraine. In 2015, waves of migrants flooded across the Mediterranean, and the next year, amid rising populist Euroskepticism, the Brexit referendum threatened to dissolve the European Union. And since 2016, Donald Trump, first as a candidate and then as U.S. president, has challenged NATO and trans-Atlantic trade.
In each case, newspapers published lurid reportage and think tanks issued dire predictions of Europe’s imminent collapse while politicians in Washington, Beijing, and Moscow wrote Europe off as strategically irrelevant. But in each case Europeans quietly prevailed.
Europeans have succeeded by deploying nonmilitary capabilities that they wield more effectively than anyone else in the world today: foreign aid, trade and employment agreements, the imposition of regulatory standards, the cultivation of international law and organization, firm but quiet diplomacy, and the promotion of democracy. Europe’s distinctive pragmatic use of civilian power may be too dull, slow-moving, and technocratic to attract attention. Yet in the end, it gets the job done more cost-effectively than other means employed by rival great powers.
In 2014, Russia attacked Ukraine, annexed Crimea, and covertly supported separatism in two of its eastern provinces—a flagrant violation of international law that posed the most serious security challenge to Europe in a generation. Since Russia enjoys unquestioned local military superiority and accords Ukraine greater historical, cultural, economic, and strategic importance than any other country, traditional realists such as Henry Kissinger and John Mearsheimer counseled Europe to let Ukraine go. Moscow, they warned, would respond ruthlessly, leading inevitably to a Western defeat.
European leaders ignored the naysayers and, instead, led a Western effort to face Russia down in its own backyard. Just six years later, the result is as favorable as is realistically possible. Ukraine—minus the 7 percent of its territory occupied by Russia and its sympathizers—is now an independent country forging an ever closer relationship with the West. The war in its eastern provinces is winding down: After more than 9,000 deaths by the end of 2015, Ukrainian military and civilian fatalities have dropped to around 100 per year. While Russia seems determined to stay in Crimea, negotiations over the eastern provinces inch forward, achieving an effective cease-fire and prisoner exchange this year.
Meanwhile, Ukraine is enjoying robust economic growth. Its democracy continues to consolidate: The election of Volodymyr Zelensky in early 2019 placed the country’s presidency in the hands of politicians far less tainted by corruption, oligarchy, or Russian ties. In separate polling, nearly 80 percent of Ukrainians now have a favorable view of the EU, and almost two-thirds believe that further external cooperation should be directed at eventual membership.
While primary credit lies with Ukrainians themselves, who sustained high military casualties, their sacrifice would have been futile without massive Western backing. Europe alone possesses the nonmilitary instruments needed to prevail against Russian President Vladimir Putin.
For decades, EU officials had been quietly helping the Ukrainian government integrate with the West by adapting its market legislation to EU standards—a process meant to culminate in an association agreement with the EU in 2014. Fearing that such an agreement would tie Ukraine to the West in perpetuity, Putin pressed then-Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych to reject it. What no one could have foreseen was that, in response, pro-Western protesters would occupy Kyiv’s Independence Square for three months, many waving EU flags—ultimately triggering a revolution that ended only when Yanukovych fled to Russia and a pro-Western president took office.
If the soft power of European values helped spark the revolution in Ukraine, Europe’s coordinated economic, political, and legal aid sustained it.
If the soft power of European values helped spark the revolution, Europe’s coordinated economic, political, and legal aid sustained it. EU and member state aid has kept war-torn Ukraine solvent, providing about $20 billion since 2014, compared with less than $2 billion in economic aid from the United States. Europe supports about twice as much aid as the International Monetary Fund does as well. An estimated 4 million Ukrainians work abroad, most of them in Europe, remitting back nearly $16 billion annually—10 percent of the country’s GDP—whereas only a few thousand go to the United States. Under the EU association agreement, Ukraine has expanded trade with Europe, which now takes nearly $25 billion annually in Ukrainian exports, more than 20 times that which goes to the United States.
European governments have voted unanimously every six months to renew trade, investment, and travel sanctions on Russia despite Moscow’s punishing countersanctions. They do so despite the fact that while the United States, Canada, Japan, and Australia all imposed common sanctions (and faced countersanctions from Moscow), 90 percent of the costs fall on Europeans, who are the ones with a traditional trading relationship with Russia.
The EU’s European Neighborhood Policy provides an extensive integrated program of economic, political, and legal reform, aimed at aligning Ukraine over the long term with the West. The EU Commission wields competition law and infrastructure spending to limit the power of Gazprom, the Russian fossil fuel monopoly, and to ensure continued energy supplies to Ukraine. Working through the Normandy Format, French and German leaders have led the diplomatic effort to defuse the military conflict—initiating, according to one study, eight times more high-level diplomatic communication with Russia and Ukraine than their U.S. counterparts.
To be sure, the United States does provide most of Ukraine’s military aid, yet such assistance totals just a 10th of EU civilian aid discussed above—and the Ukrainian government is constrained to spend it on U.S.-produced conventional arms, training, and medical supplies largely available on the open market. The Trump administration’s much-heralded sale of lethal military equipment—Javelin anti-tank missiles—to Ukraine arrived only in 2018, long after Russian forces had pulled back, unlikely to return. And the United States has imposed the explicit condition that the missiles must be stored almost a thousand miles from the front and cannot be used in combat. In contrast to European aid, U.S. military assistance is more symbolic than real.
In 2015, just over 1 million irregular migrants arrived in Europe—an influx higher than in any period since the immediate aftermath of World War II. Many were Syrian refugees seeking asylum. Hundreds of millions of people across the globe desire to migrate, and European countries remain some of the most desired destinations, leading many to view such waves of mass migration as inevitable and irresistible. Conservative pundits proclaimed “the death of Europe.”
Yet Europe’s spectacularly swift and successful response demonstrates that mass migration can be controlled. Since 2015, the flow of irregular migrants has declined by 88 percent—from just over a million to about 123,000 in 2019—and has continued to trend downward this year. Since fewer people brave the journey, fewer die at sea: Last year’s total of 1,319 dead and missing is lower than any year on record—though, of course, this calculation ignores the fate of those stuck in transit camps.
Europe’s spectacularly swift and successful response to the migration crisis demonstrates that mass migration can be controlled.
European governments achieved this goal by adopting tough but effective policies. They constructed walls, fences, and high-tech sensing systems. They criminalized the transport of migrants, even on commercial ferries or aircraft. They removed EU policing and rescue boats from the seas. They cracked down on NGOs that assisted migrants (and, allegedly, helped coordinate their movements) by placing police on their vessels, impounding boats, and initiating prosecutions. When European navies spotted migrant vessels in international waters, they towed them back to an uncertain fate in Africa or Asia.
Europe struck deals with transit countries such as Turkey, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia, and Egypt. All have agreed to police their shores, house millions of potential migrants, and work with the EU’s border control agency, Frontex. In exchange, they receive foreign aid, trade concessions, visa-free travel, and border control equipment. Further EU migration missions are now dotted through Chad, Mali, and the rest of Africa.
European idealists and migrant rights activists accuse European governments of hypocrisy: Are they not betraying the spirit of their ethical and international legal obligations to permit any refugee or migrant to seek international protection? Conditions in European detention areas are indeed often overcrowded and uncomfortable, as attested by the images that recently circulated from Greece’s burned-down Moria camp. Extra-European detention camps are especially troubling. This year, even before the pandemic, the United Nations suspended operations at its transit center in Tripoli, Libya, because it could not ensure safety. Ramona Lenz of Medico International—a public health NGO funded in part by the German government—has criticized European governments for enlisting neighboring states to serve as the “bouncers of Europe”—and then averting their gaze as those states abuse the human rights of migrants.
Yet European governments have remained unsentimentally resolute. Donald Tusk, then-president of the EU’s most important decision-making body, the European Council, declared when the policy was adopted: “We may not agree on everything, but we agree on the main goal, which is stemming illegal migration to Europe.”
European governments chose this strategy because they are pragmatic. Their citizens consider immigration the most important issue facing Europe, with majorities of up to 10 to 1 opposing more migrants, even before the 2015 wave. Migration threatens the stability of Europe’s moderate political systems: No government would last long today if it supported uncontrolled entry from culturally dissimilar regions. This would undermine other policies. In Britain, for example, citizens listed migration as one of the most important political issues facing the country in every year from 2001 to 2016, with a substantial majority of those polled wanting to reduce the number of migrants—a trend that eventually helped fuel the Brexit vote.
In the long term, European leaders view the reduction of uncontrolled migration, brutally if necessary, as the only way forward. Yet there is a silver lining. Doing so can create the political space to admit more migrants on selective economic and humanitarian grounds. Recent polls suggest that this may be correct: Public concern about migration is slowly declining.
Over the past two decades, extreme-right populist parties with anti-Muslim, anti-immigrant, anti-terrorist, and anti-Europe appeal have increased their vote shares across Europe. They now participate in government in six countries. In Britain, they spearheaded Brexit. And in the last two decades, scholars—and, it seems, journalists—have written more about extreme-right populist parties than all other European parties combined.
Leading foreign-policy pundits argue that homegrown extremism in Europe, the United States, and elsewhere—and not rising great-power challengers—now poses the greatest threat to the post-Cold War liberal international order. In Europe, many fear that extremist governments might win more EU exit referendums or join Trump and Putin in adopting protectionist and pro-Russia stances.
Yet this proved to be journalistic hype. Rather than panicking over populist threats, European leaders calmly drained their energy by dampening migration and terrorism and hanging tough in negotiations with Britain—to which they can now add the political benefit of managing the coronavirus pandemic well. Today, European unity—in any case, a practical necessity for small and highly interdependent states—is more popular than at any time in recent history.
In fact, populists were never as powerful as headlines made them seem. Consider the case of Marine Le Pen, who heads the French extreme-right National Rally party. When she ran for the French presidency in 2017, newspapers across the globe proclaimed, as one New York Times article put it, that “the next president of France will be Marine Le Pen” and speculated what her administration would do once in office. Yet her campaign was clearly hopeless from the start. All of her potential rivals, polls showed, could defeat her by comfortable double-digit margins, and Emmanuel Macron eventually did so by winning twice as many votes. Today, the National Rally holds just seven of 577 seats in the National Assembly.
Outside of Britain, extreme Euroskepticism enjoys scant support.
The impotence of the extreme-right in France is no exception. Outside of Britain, extreme Euroskepticism enjoys scant support. Of 27 EU members (plus Britain), 12 have no extreme-right or Euroskeptic party at all or none that scores above 10 percent in national elections. In 10 more countries, including France and Germany, other parties consistently exclude extremists from government coalitions. In three more—Latvia, Estonia, and Bulgaria—extremists participate only as minority coalition partners, which reduces their influence close to zero.
Only in Britain, Hungary, and Poland does an extreme-right or Euroskeptic party actually lead the government. Of course, their extremism poses threats to the quality of democracy and rule of law, as in the United States, but their effect on foreign policy is slight. Migration is the only EU issue on which policy has moved in a direction extremists favor—but this, as we have seen, is only because the position held by extremists happens to be that of large majorities of moderate voters in nearly every country. Otherwise, Poland and Hungary, both of which are among the biggest beneficiaries of EU policies and have exceptionally pro-EU populations, follow their neighbors on nearly every aspect of external policy, from sanctions on Russia to development aid to Africa—dissenting occasionally only on symbolic declarations. That leaves Brexit as the only major Euroskeptic achievement of a populist party in recent years.
Yet Brexit is, at best, an exception that proves the rule. That it happened at all reflects a perfect storm of astonishingly unlikely circumstances unrepeatable elsewhere. Britain is the only European country where Euroskepticism attracts more than a tiny fringe of the electorate. Even so, Brexit could happen only because a prime minister overruled his advisors to call an unnecessary referendum, which happened to fall at the only brief moment in the last five years when a majority of Britons opposed EU membership. Brexit was later ratified by an election in which a 44 percent vote share gave Boris Johnson a comfortable majority: Without Britain’s electoral institutions, the most biased in Europe, a pro-EU majority would have ruled instead.
Today, Brexit remains stalled. Britain is much smaller and dependent on Europe’s good will to gain access for nearly half of its exports, particularly of services like banking. This allows Europe to take a tough stance in negotiations over the terms of the U.K. withdrawal. British Brexiteers once hoped that Trump would bail them out with a quick trade agreement. Yet U.S.-U.K. negotiations have gone nowhere after the United States badgered the British about agricultural imports and aircraft subsidies. Trump embarrasses prime ministers on his visits, remains unpopular among the British public, and is struggling to be reelected. Britain is running out of options.
These realities, combined with the more general lack of support for their Euroskeptic views, have led populists elsewhere to moderate their ideas rather than follow London’s lead. Five years ago, 15 extreme-right parties, including Le Pen’s National Rally, advocated a Brexit-style withdrawal from the EU or the eurozone. Today none do. Even so, the most worrisome populist challenger in Europe, Matteo Salvini of the League party, is hemorrhaging popular support to the Brothers of Italy, a new and less Euroskeptic right-wing party. The wave of populist Euroskepticism seems to have crested.
Among Europe’s major geopolitical assets is its close partnership with the United States, which has formed the bedrock of Western defense and economic policies for 75 years. In 2016, as a presidential candidate, Trump called all this into question, declaring NATO “obsolete” and threatening to withdraw if Europeans failed to meet their informal pledge to spend 2 percent of their GDPs on defense—a threat he has repeated often since. He seems obsessed with Europe’s bilateral trade surplus with the United States—especially that of Germany.
Yet as president, Trump has been more bark than bite. European defense spending has risen only marginally, with just the United Kingdom and a half-dozen Eastern European countries likely to exceed 2 percent anytime soon. Nonetheless, within three months of entering office, the new president took credit for the problem being fixed and declared NATO “not obsolete.” Vice President Mike Pence, backed by cabinet officials, assured allies that Washington’s commitment remained “unwavering.” The most Trump has done was to approve plans in July to remove about 6,000 of more than 60,000 troops in Europe. But commentators agree that this bit of pre-election theatrics is unlikely to result in real policy change, which would take years to execute and cost billions of dollars and would be strategically insignificant even if it did.
Longer term, Europe need not worry that the United States will leave NATO. European countries remain America’s most trustworthy and capable allies. U.S. Defense Department planners, important domestic constituencies, and an overwhelming bipartisan majority in Congress favor both defending Europe and deterring Russia. Moreover, more than half of U.S. forces stationed in NATO countries are not there to defend Europe from Russia but to provide indispensable logistical support for the projection of U.S. power in the Mediterranean, Middle East, Africa, and Eurasia. They man Air Force bases, transport hubs, headquarters, and hospitals in Germany, as well as the U.S. Navy’s 6th Fleet, based in Naples, Italy. U.S. Africa Command, for example, is headquartered in the German city of Stuttgart because the United States was unable to find an African country to host it. Without NATO, every delivery of troops or materiel, evacuation of a wounded soldier, naval mission in the Mediterranean, rapid reaction action, multinational training exercise, heavy bombing mission, or trip to headquarters would require an extra 6,000-mile trip to or from the United States.
Trump also took aim at European economic interests, grabbing headlines by repeatedly threatening to impose tariffs on EU exports. Pundits worried that trans-Atlantic disruption might upend the global trading system. Yet the administration has provoked only two small squabbles: In 2018, Trump imposed tariffs on European steel and aluminum, and last year he blocked a bundle of goods in response to European subsidies to Airbus. Neither was new. All but one U.S. administration since that of Richard Nixon has placed special tariffs on steel—a large unionized industry concentrated in U.S. swing states. And the World Trade Organization fully authorized the compensatory tariffs on Airbus products in October 2019 as part of a settlement of a 15-year dispute.
When Trump imposed tariffs, Europe swiftly retaliated with sanctions carefully targeted at voters in U.S. swing states.
Yet these two sets of tariffs targeted just $7.5 billion in European exports each—minuscule compared with the $300 billion in Chinese products hit by Trump tariffs. As a result—until the COVID-19 crisis—trans-Atlantic exports and affiliate sales continued to increased more than 20 percent after 2016, whereas U.S. trade with China declined significantly.
No trans-Atlantic trade war erupted because Trump did not dare provoke it. The backlash would be fierce since U.S. and European firms are far more heavily cross-invested than firms in any other part of the world: 61 percent of total U.S. foreign direct investment (FDI) is in Europe, and 68 percent of FDI coming into the United States comes from Europe, so U.S. corporate interests are inseparably linked to Europe. Even when EU and U.S. economic interests diverge, Trump must tread even more carefully than with China because the world’s largest trading bloc with a population of almost 500 million is a powerful adversary. Trade authority is centralized in Brussels. When Trump imposed tariffs, Europe swiftly retaliated with sanctions carefully targeted at voters in U.S. swing states.
The EU plays offense as well. Quietly taking advantage of Trump’s diffidence toward globalization, Europe concluded ambitious trade agreements with Japan, Mexico, and Canada, with Australia, Brazil, and other countries to follow. Exploiting the threat of exclusion from the lucrative European market, the EU has become the world’s de facto regulatory authority—something the Columbia Law professor Anu Bradford calls the “Brussels effect.” Farmers in Nebraska, for instance, grow pesticide-free products so that they meet EU standards. Europe recently imposed tough privacy standards on U.S. tech giants and is considering new digital taxes. The Trump administration objected, but Europe did not back down. Instead, it helped convince California to adopt similar regulations, which went into effect in January.
Journalists, pundits, and politicians overlook Europe’s record of success because it is, in a word, dull. Europe’s quiet and patient style of foreign policy lacks the flash and charisma of old-fashioned crisis diplomacy conducted in the shadow of coercive force. Unlike Trump’s America, Europe does not grab headlines by precipitously launching trade wars—or real ones. Unlike Putin’s Russia, it does not subvert elections and pollute the internet. Unlike Xi Jinping’s China, it does not incarcerate ethnic minorities or provoke military clashes along its borders. Old-school geopoliticians are baffled (and often bored) by decisions taken by Brussels-based institutions where it is difficult to tell who is in charge—or even, as Kissinger once quipped, whom to call.
Europe’s pragmatism also often frustrates idealists. European leaders, knowing that they cannot solve all the world’s problems, pick their battles carefully. They eschew precipitous actions and hopeless causes that in retrospect so often seem ill-judged, such as toppling Saddam Hussein or ejecting Russia from Crimea. Instead, they slowly advance, often for decades, workable solutions to problems such as European enlargement, Iranian nuclear weapons, or climate change, punctuated by setbacks. In a case like Belarus today, it is perhaps overambitious to ask whether Europeans can topple the current authoritarian government tomorrow—but it seems reasonable to ask whether they can create incentives for its peaceful and positive evolution over the next decades. And what they do serves Europe’s interests.
Boring though this incremental and technocratic policymaking may be, it works. This has been shown not just by the examples above but in Europe’s recent decisions to provide 750 billion euros ($826 billion) in added financial firepower to stabilize the euro; to craft a system to screen Chinese investment in Europe; to switch to European-built 5G mobile networks; to promote peace and development in the Western Balkans; and now, without fear of a British veto, to coordinate tax policies.
In the wake of COVID-19, many in the United States have asked themselves whether democratic countries can sustain farsighted, data-driven, expert-based policies. Would-be Trumps and Putins question whether such policies are even desirable, preferring to appeal to national greatness. The answer is in Europe: In the 21st century, such policies are not only sustainable but successful. Europe is the future. This story appears in the Fall 2020 print issue.
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2020.10.04 07:55 rocketman0739 Out-of-print filk albums master post (Mk 2)

My previous post has now aged out, so this will be the new hub for out-of-print filk albums.
A few things are changing, but the project is the same: to preserve these rare albums, get them off slowly degrading tapes, and allow a new generation of filkers and fen to enjoy them. I will still remove an album if the artist asks me to.
Some links will probably get broken in the shuffle. I will try to keep the links in my recent /filk posts valid. Let me know if there's a dead link in this post, or if the changes have confounded you in some way. Also, subscribe to /filk if you haven't.
Just to make this clear: if you have old filk tapes (or OOP filk CDs), I would love to digitize them. I will gladly pay you for them and then post the digitizations where you can get them for free.


  • Dropbox has worked adequately so far, but in the future, I will be making more use of the Internet Archive. A friend pointed out to me that preserving and distributing old media is really what the IA is for—not to mention that I'd rather not pay for a larger Dropbox account. Several albums have been moved to the IA already, and any new ones I digitize will probably go there.
  • These days I'm significantly better at digitizing than I was when I started. Many albums that I digitized early on were done with a $5 Goodwill tape deck and exported in a low bitrate. They're not up to my current standard. Those albums will stay on Dropbox until I get around to redoing them correctly, at which point the new versions will go up on the IA and the links here will be changed.
  • So far I've been mostly neglecting YouTube, but now I'm happy to announce that I'll be partnering with the channel Songs from the Stars to get some of this content uploaded there. That may even include some albums that don't appear in this post.


Various artists:
Bill Sutton:
Bob Kanefsky:
Duane Elms & Larry Warner:
Juanita Coulson:
Julia Ecklar:
Kathy Mar:
Leslie Fish:
Leslie Fish & Heather Alexander:
  • *Fever Season - theme: C. J. Cherryh's Merovingen Nights books
Leslie Fish & Vic Tyler:
Meg Davis:
Technical Difficulties:
Note: the digitization of albums marked with an asterisk was done in part or whole by someone else. Their quality may be better or worse than the others, which I personally digitized from tape.
Second note: albums marked with a dagger have low bitrate or some other issue. They are quite listenable as they are, but I plan to redo them in higher quality where I can. This may not be an option for the ones marked with both asterisk and dagger, as I mostly don't have the physical tapes for those.
P.S. My last post received several Reddit awards. I'm very happy you appreciate this project, but if you feel the need to give an award, perhaps you could go and buy a filk album on Bandcamp or Prometheus instead. Thanks!
submitted by rocketman0739 to u/rocketman0739 [link] [comments]

2020.10.01 16:18 MagicTech547 The not complete list of countless undertale au’s(disclaimer: I haven’t made any of these and descriptions may be wrong or biased, but that’s what googled for, you have the name

Undertale, the classic
Deltarune, only canon undertale AU
Glitchtale, great story/ fills in own lore
Outertale, futuristic instead of magic/modern
Underswap, good all around, good detail to keep somethings not swapped
Underfell, nice evil
[email protected], good context for au destruction/Error!sans
Inktale, good context for au creation/ makes sense for an opposite to error (overall fav cuz of my fav sans, ink)
Trainertale, great Pokémon undertale combo
Swapfell, great swap nice evil
Storyshift, good context of exchanged roles
Underfresh, annoying/cringe/amazing 80’s
Temmietale, i luv temmy, lik wen he says “Hoi! I’m temmie!” Hes amazig (I was speaking Tem)
Aftertale, cool sans and serious story
Littletale, ADORABLE!!!!!!!!!!!
Dreamtale, good lore on the under-multiverse
Reapertale, one word; divinity
Dancetale, dance dance revolution
Ultratale, good divergence from original timeline with ultra beasts Pokémon
Magitale, great interpretation of magic for an altered race of magical mutated humans
HELP_tale, great lore on the multiverses end
Underpants, hilarious meme
Inverted fate, good reason for its inverse and like storyshift it’s good(has my fav paps)
Hungertale, funny compilation
Epictale, lore and cool stuff
Ultra!tale, cool power-up sans and other stuff
Endertale, great au
Underverse, spans multiple au’s
Underverse, Steven universe is a good show
Underfalls, good gravity falls crossover
Undertale on break, I like the inside thing
Growth spurt, I like the sequel feel
Compilation of determination, I like the view and stuff
Timetale, cool sans stuff
Revolutiontale, cool 1680 non war spin on it
Snowfall, great. Enough said
Fusiontale, Steven universes concept of a race of people capable of fusing their bodies and minds
Hypertale, spells and grander story
Steamtale, steampunk
Template and pale, while not an au but 2 characters story arks, still very cool characters + concept of ink and errors swap counterparts
Undertale switch, cool new status condition
Across the void, collection of cool au’s
Undervirus, has a cool story arc and has cool concepts
Soultale, it’s cool and is even more soul orientated then undertale
Quantumtale, has time travel
Undertale green, cool amazing super ideas and has it have the most powerful souls in all the au’s and the most powerful soul Error papyrus has seen is average for that world
The untold story of the soul of joy, cool concepts and characters and the like
Underplayer, cool ideas and characters
Gravitytale falls, gravity falls undertale
X-tale, has one of the coolest Sanses ever, also paired with x-Chara
Mafiatale, is a mafia
Understeam, steampunk
Underland, Alice in wonderland
Dusttale, cool evil sans
Horrortale, horror
Outershift, story shift + outer
Story swap, story shift + swap
Inverted shift, inverted fate + story shift
Inverted shift swap, inverted fate + story shift + swap Can combine a whole lot of them
Fatal!errortale, more potent errors than errortale, used to be geno from aftertale
Disbelief, cool
Dustbelief, even cooler
Dustbeliefswap, super cool
Swaptale, cool swap of timelines
Dokitale, has a funny q and a for sans and Monica
The thought, has god (or seraphim) sans
Sciencetale, has scientist sans
Interchanged fate, a bit like storyshift and inverted fate
Storyspin, like interchanged fate, storyshift and inverted fate
Undershuffle, like the other swap ones
Underkeep, a regal underground with sans as the main character and is medieval/royal, lead by Mettaton
Flowerfell, sad but good
Hardtale, is cool with the new/altered stuff
Undertale the musical, a musical version of undertale’s music
Birdtale, all the monsters have bird wings
Bad time trio, has classic sans, swap papyrus, and story shift Chara team up to fight the genociders, has multiple variations, like the good time trio(fell), the stellar time trio(outer), the Error time trio(Error), etc
Dusttrust, cool murdery dustbelief swap blueberry sans
Nightmaretale, has a magic Frisk and cyborg looking Chara, as well as other cool stuff
Endertale, has a magic frisk, an ask box, and is cartoonishly funny
Legotale, lego
Bonetale, smash bro’s style of fighting video game
Undertale battle mode, can be funny and battle True genocide, a true pacifist so a true genocide Deeperdown, magic frisk and cool
Overtale, monsters are humans and humans are monsters
Coretale, the origins of the multiverse traveler, Core!Frisk
Undertale lasts breath, cool Gaster and possible Asgore reset stuff, plus tough sans fight
Underbrushed, weirdness, like Chara being alive, Asriel turns into Flowey for some random reason, they live with Alphys in the Ruins, Frisk is a criminal stealing the items of the other 6 souls with Sans and Papyrus being their reality bending 4th wall breaking partners in crime, etc
Storyspin, another swapped au
Versotale, Steven take the role of Frisk and the monsters are by the crystal gems and other gems
Negatale, everything’s blue, and negative emotions are the basis of monsters and the main character can make them feel happiness easily
Cybertale, high tech/futuristic/robotic, and all monsters are robots
Underdream, frisk/Chara is sleep walking and all the monsters and people in the dream are figments of imagination
Altertale, Toriel and Asgore in the place of Sans and Papyrus, etc
Undersource, code themed, game was played by a hacker, has Hacker!Chara, Negro’s!Sans, and more
Get a life, Asriel and Frisk share a body
Epictale, weird yet makes sense
Undertoad, Super Mario brothers
Sonictale, Sonic the hedgehog
Toontale, replaces all the characters and places with cancelled cartoon people/places, like that cartoony Pikachu from that one cancelled show and the setting of the Lilo and Stitch show for Snowdin
Modtale, an au where resetting causes the world to turn into a different one from anywhere on the internet and beyond, from open world underswap to a random, cringe fan game about cleaning Gasters teeth or something
Autale, every person from any au is in a random role, like normal sans is Chara, UF sans is the king, etc
Deltatale, a combo of Deltarune and Undertale in every aspect, from goals to characters
Voidtale, 5 Sanses and 5 Gasters, 1 of each have dominion over something, Light, Dark, Life, Time, and Hate
The Code Soul, the reason people can make au’s and is maintained by Digit!Sans in the anti-void
Beyondtale, Frisk gives up some of their Dt to create a soul for Asriel, and Frisk learns magic, and Asriel is starting to be consumed by his Flowey subconsciousness
Under-Zone, the characters from undertale taking the roles and world of The Adventure-Zone
Unexpected guests, Gaster blasters turn into Blaster dragons
Sanstale, everyone’s sans, but some stuff stays the same, like gender, attack patterns(will still be replaced with bones), mind sets, sexuality, position, and history, but everybody has the same basic build and is a skeleton(also it just has blueberry sans for Paps and storyshift sans for Asgore to save on theme creation)
Another one, AMAZING GASTER STUFF AND IS AMAZING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Cloudtale, undertale, in the sky!
Sixbones, amalgamate sans and paps
Error404, more powerful error
Shattered dreams, evil Dream!Sans from eating negative apple Bill!Sans, not an entire au, but is the fusion of Bill Cipher and Sans, sans made a deal to defeat the genocider, is multiverse traveling, Bill in control, cool
Othertale, sans absorbed the six souls in an attempt to kill the genocider but underestimated the power and ended up causing the world to reset without him, causing Undyne to take the role of sans, Gerson to remain captain of the guard, and any other changes I’m not aware of. The sans still exists in the void and is called Color!sans. He has the powers of all traits(souls) minus determination and hangs out in the parts of the judgement hall that transported with him and hangs with W.D. Gaster
Paper jam, an ink/error hybrid created by ink when they lived together
Create your Frisk, a sandbox program that can let you make your own undertale games easily
Alphystale, everyone’s Alphys, napstablook is storyshift Alphys, Undyne is swap alphys
Dead end, paps Chara combo and sans Asriel combo, paps and Chara travel the au’s now
Core corruption, a 9th human falls after the barrier is broken, gets turned into a skeleton, is cool
Gemtale, all the characters are the same but they all have gemstones and all the added powers of being a gem and are called gem names(gem as in Steven universe)
Undersouls, undertale x dark souls
Pokétale, everyone’s a Pokémon
Hate, an actual program you can download that scrambles the games files to make a hilarious experience
Deltarune: Memoryrune, Frisk comes to Deltarune for revenge from deleting their world, and in pacifist ending ends up sacrificing their soul to reincarnate their world in a style similar to Deltarunes dark world
Futuretale, Frisk doesn’t fall down until much later, as in high tech age, and all characters are descendants of the originals, keeping in mind that Frisk wouldn’t be there to help, so no Undyne-Alphys
Undertale survive the monsters, roblox fighting game for whoever’s in the role of Sans or otherwise powerful
Doubletale, undertale and underswap coexist
Vocaltale, all music is aucapella with words and maybe a bit of editing, like robot tone
Undersail, basically Oceantale
Surftale, everyone’s on the beach and doing beach things
Pyramidtale, Egyptian
Haventale, the polar opposite of Underfell, in that everyone is super happy and alive(Flowey there as a different character)
Undernovella, a Spanish romance/action show and everyone has a
Spirit, follows a new ghost through the underground and creates lore on ghosts
Underlearn, Baldi’s basics but undertale physics
Hollowtale, the Knight from Hollow Knight gets transported to undertale pacifist ending
Grouptale, all of the humans(except Chara) fall at the time frisk falls and they make their way through the underground as a group(and Flowey and Sans are confused)
Photo negative sans, not a full au but a copy of sans created by Chara to take out frisk that has some weird photogenic and button-letter-stealing powers
Universal discomfort, sans = dry bones, pap = Koopa, undyne = ness, Asgore = Mickey, Alphys = Pikachu, etc Fadetale, sans is absorbed by Chara
Beforetale, opposite of Geno, he absorbed Dt(save point) instead of drinking it), no remorse, isn’t trapped in a save screen
Underhell, basically sans lv 25 and is lonely, and is very powerful
Time!sans, a sans that is the over seer of all timelines, and helps ink save them sometimes and error destroy them sometimes
Flowey!possession, sans is possessed by flowey
CPUtale, instead of the monsters getting trapped underground, they were sealed in a computer program
Creepytale, undertale but everything is inherently creepy, though everything is the same but bleak, all the good are good and the bad are bad
GZtale, Asgore is evil and miss led Paps Alphys and Mettaton into killing any human that comes down, Sans hates Pap, lives with Toriel, and is overly protective of humans that come down. Also Frisk was friends with Kind and Just, before they were killed by Pap
Meme lord sans, created from everyone’s “hopes and memes”, he can kill Chara infinite times over and is seen wearing a Nintendo power glove, skeleton hood, Marty McFly jacket, and wielding the Sord from Stockholm
Antivirus sans, not a full au but this sans but part of Xans from undervirus, can’t use normal sans attacks because xans took those, xans is virustales sans
Tubertale, everyone is a famous YouTuber, and they are trapped on an Island, though no field or anything, just deserted
Killertale, sans absorbed Chara’s/Frisks Dt and is now a reluctant genocider
Crystaltale, all au’s destroyed in the X-event have been turned into crystal versions, though the original version had Frisk resetting thousands of times trying to SAVE Chara and Asriel, driving sans to insanity, then the crystal thing, Chara, Gaster and Asriel came back, Sans deleted and replaced with new character who still is a skeleton and takes the role as this universes sans, Crystal
Undertale, but you play as a bed lump, you play as a bed lump and it’s fabulous(real mod)
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2020.10.01 15:18 ZandrickEllison Offseason Blueprint: the Washington Wizards had a rockier year than J.K. Rowling, but perhaps they can bring the playoff magic back next year

We're in the middle of the playoffs in basketball and baseball, but there's only one thing on every sports fans mind: what's going on with the Washington Wizards??
We are here to scratch that itch, my friend, with the latest edition of the OFFSEASON BLUEPRINT series. Here are some recommendations for the team's offseason.
step one: keep a protective seal around Bradley Beal
When we come up with fake trades on this site, Bradley Beal's name is almost always mentioned. Andrew Wiggins and the # 2 pick for Bradley Beal. Gary Harris and Michael Porter Jr. for Bradley Beal. Kyle Kuzma and a pack of donuts for Bradley Beal.
I get it. The Wizards aren't a good team. They finished 25-47 this season, a long way away from .500. They also have a major asset here in Beal that could jumpstart a rebuild. Other teams and fan bases should be eyeing them like vultures, ready to pick off their remains. From Washington's point of view, I'd fight off those buzzards as long as possible. Beal is among the best shooting guards in the game, so it's very difficult to throw away an All-Star for a song and a prayer. Even if you land a top 3 pick in this draft, you're selecting a project that you hope may one day turn into someone like... Bradley Beal. It's not worth the risk.
Moreover, Beal is only 27 years old right now. Health permitting, he has the skill set that should age well. He's going to be a good player for the next 3, 4, maybe 5 years. While your prospects in 2020-21 may be uncertain, you need some confidence in yourself as a franchise that you can turn the ship around eventually.
To be fair, there's somewhat of a ticking clock here. Beal is only locked up for 2 more years (and then has a player option.) So, by that standard, you need to show more promise before he flies away in free agency. Still, that gives you some time to get your house in order. Knowing that, the Wizards should keep Beal this season (barring an AMAZING and overwhelming offer.) After this season, we can reassess if need be.
There are two good reasons to "wait and see" before you even consider a Beal trade. The primary one is John Wall's health. It's still a mystery. If Wall can come back near 100%, then this isn't such a rotten team after all. Alternatively, if Wall looks like a shell of his former self or if he gets re-injured, then maybe you pivot and throw in the towel. His contract -- $41M + $44M + $47M player option -- would make it very difficult to be competitive if he's a complete zero.
The second reason to "wait and see" would be a matter of draft classes. This particular year appears weak right now. I wouldn't trade Beal for Anthony Edwards or LaMelo Ball -- heck, I may not trade him for both of them put together. However, 2021 and 2022 are projected to be much stronger drafts. If you're going to blow it up and go for a complete rebuild, I'd rather start with a sure-fire franchise talent in the bank. Beal's value won't change in any major way from age 27 to 28, so that affords the Wizards the luxury of patience on this front. Hopefully that keeps him in town for the long haul, but it may mean waiting for a better trade haul instead.
step two: aim a gun at your lame duck
If the blueprint suggests keeping Bradley Beal and making a playoff push, then the team will have to get better around him. That goes for the supporting cast, but it also goes for the coaching staff.
I love to follow coaching hirings and firings, but this offseason has thrown me for a loop already. Billy Donovan and Mike D'Antoni slipped out. Doc Rivers got thrown out. Steve Nash (?!) smashed in through the walls like the Kool-aid man.
And yet, somehow, Scottie Brooks continues to survive. It's hard to blame Brooks for the team's struggles this particular year (with John Wall out) but we simply haven't seen many signs of progress for the franchise. His winning percentage has dropped each season he's been in D.C. -- from 60% to 52% to 39% to 35% this past year. The defense has ranked 28th and 30th in back to back seasons. That's not a John Wall issue -- that's a coaching and personnel issue. Something ain't right here.
Apparently, GM Tommy Sheppard and ownership are going to let Brooks ride out his contract and see how he does with a (hopefully) healthy Wall. That's fine. That shows some loyalty. But there's a difference between being loyal and being a punching bag. Brooks needs to show well this season, or he needs to go.
In fact, I've already got the next coach lined up outside the door. Last year, I predicted that the Wizards would replace Brooks with Denver assistant coach Wes Unseld, Jr. Unseld is a bright, charismatic coach who focuses on defense. He also has a lot of ties to this organization, where his dad was an MVP and executive. Unseld Jr. would have been a good hire last offseason. He would have a good hire this offseason. He may have to be a good next offseason, depending on how Brooks and the team progresses in 2020-21. Setting a clear standard for Brooks would be helpful. He either needs to make the playoffs or get darn close to .500 again.
step three: no more free lunches (and free baskets)
As mentioned, the Washington Wizards finished 30th (out of 30) in defensive rating this year. That's simply unacceptable. If the team has any hopes of returning to the playoffs, that needs to improve in a hurry.
The defensive issues go up and down the roster, but I'd flag two of the biggest problem areas. With John Wall hurt, Scottie Brooks decided to go with the "proven vet" and started Isaiah Thomas in 37 games. That turned out to be a disaster. Thomas' offensive prowess has been diminished, and his defense is as bad as ever. All in all, he became a net negative for the team. In fact, we even named him the Least Valuable Player in the league this season given his negative contributions and his heavy minutes.
The Wizards mercy-killed the I.T. experiment before the end of last year, so that shouldn't be as big of an issue anymore. John Wall will come back, hopefully to the point where he can play close to 30 minutes a night. When Wall rests, the team can fall back on Ish Smith as a capable backup. Jerome Robinson (former Clipper bust) can also provide some minutes and hopefully some lingering upside. It'd be wise for the team to retain another backup guard -- be it Shabazz Napier or defensive-specialist Gary Payton II as well. We simply don't know how much Wall is going to be able to play this next year, so you want depth at the PG position.
There's another potential problem area that's going to be harder to address. The Wizards are going to have to come up with a gameplan regarding rookie PF Rui Hachimura. Physically, Hachimura looks like everything you'd want in a modern PF; he's effectively a super-sized small forward who should be capable of guarding several positions. His actual defensive performance was mixed. ESPN RPM thought he did fine, but BPM (box plus minus) graded him an ugly -2.0 impact per 100 possessions on defense. Offensively, Hachimura needs to extend his range. His three-point shooting was a work in progress at Gonzaga, and there's still work to be done in the NBA now. As a rookie, Hachimura only shot 1.8 threes per game, and only hit 28.7% of them. For a SF-PF, that needs to get better. That will be especially crucial next season as Wall returns and tries to reinvigorate his drive and kick offense.
Hachimura still has a bright future, but the question is whether the Wizards are force-feeding him minutes too soon. He started 48 games and played 30.1 minutes a night. That's more understandable in a "lost season," but would be a harder pill to swallow next year if they're trying to make a playoff push. The team needs to raise the bar here. On the bright side, rookies tend to make big jumps as sophomores -- so there's a good chance Hachimura does the same. If he can't, then they need to have him take a step back into the 25 minute range until he finds his footing. It took him a while at Gonzaga, so maybe it'll be a longer learning curve here as well.
step four: don't look a Latvian gift horse in the mouth
As badly as the 2019-20 season went for the Washington Wizards, there were some positives. Sophomore SG/SF Troy Brown Jr. continues to improve, especially on the offensive end. This past season, he averaged 14.5 points, 7.7 rebounds (!), and 3.6 assists per 36 minutes. 23-year-old big Thomas Bryant also looks solid. His "per 36" numbers are even more impressive, registering 19.1 points, 10.4 rebounds, and 1.5 blocks. We have to take some of these stats with a grain of salt because the Wizards played a "you score, I score, you score" brand of basketball as a team, but it's still an encouraging sign that Brown and Bryant can be mainstays of the rotation moving forward.
The biggest surprise of the bunch was unheralded shooter Davis Bertans. The Latvian Laser always flashed in limited minutes with the Spurs, but the assumption was that his efficiency would dip over extended time. That turned out not to be the case. In 29.3 minutes a night, Bertans hit 42.4% of his threes (8.7 attempts per game) and averaged 15.4 points (19 points per 36). His shooting is legitimate, and his size (at 6'10") allows him to play either forward spot.
Bertans broke out at just the right time, right before his free agency. His stats will draw a lot of interest. The fact that shooters like Bojan Bogdanovic translated his success to a new team in Utah should also be a feather in the cap for Euro shooters everywhere. Bertans won't fetch Bogdanovic-money, but I've heard some talk about $12-15M per season in salary given his particular skill set.
I can see reasonable Washington fans getting nervous about paying this escalating bill. Bertans is already 27 (turning 28 in November) and has already torn his ACL twice before. He opted out of the bubble for those reasons. Tying yourself to him in a long-term deal could blow up in your face.
Still, it's not like the Wizards are the only team that know the risks here. All NBA clubs have google. I'd be surprised if any team is going to give Bertans more than 3 years on a deal, and even that may be generous. He may end up being more reasonable of a purchase than we expect. Given that, the Wizards need to take advantage. They either need to re-sign Bertans for themselves, or work out a sign and trade with someone else. They have a valuable piece just land in their laps, and they have to take advantage. If you're looking for trade partners, I'd eye Indiana (if they break up their two bigs), Philadelphia (same deal), or Portland (they'd love a stretch 4.)
step five: lean to the front, but don't fall on your face
The Washington Wizards will have the # 9 pick in this draft. For their sake, you hope this is the last lottery pick you have for some time. If you nail this pick, and John Wall returns to form, there's a chance you'll be back in the playoffs for the next 2-3 years. This is the Eastern Conference, after all. It's a low bar.
Knowing that this could be their best pick in a while, the Wizards need to utilize it wisely. We need to hope for a starter here, or at least someone who can play 25-30 minutes a night by year two.
Based on their depth charts and roster needs, your natural inclination would be to lean to the frontcourt (SF, PF, C). There are a few players that could fit in to the team nicely. At forward, Deni Avdija (Israel) is a good ball mover with the size to play SF or PF. I'm not a huge fan of Obi Toppin (Dayton), but he does have the scoring chops to be a top-notch Sixth Man. If there's any chance that James Wiseman (Memphis) or Onyeka Okongwu (USC) fall, they have to jump on them. Thomas Bryant is solid, but those two could be good starters and major defensive presences.
Of course, that's what the Wizards would like to see happen. In reality, the draft could get wonky and weird picks could fall their way. This is a PG-heavy class, and the supply and demand may cause some of the guards to slide.
There were some reports and rumors that the Wizards weren't looking at Killian Hayes, a top PG prospect, presumably because they have John Wall and Bradley Beal in tow. It's natural that you would lean to a frontcourt player, but the Wizards can't box themselves into a corner either. If a top 5 guard falls to # 9, then you throw out the "fit" and select the best player available. If it's close, then you can lean to your needs.
In addition to the prospects already mentioned, you have SG Anthony Edwards from Georgia (arguably the top prospect overall), PG LaMelo Ball (ESPN's top prospect), PG Tyrese Haliburton from Iowa State (arguably the most NBA-ready guard), and SG/SF Devin Vassell of Florida State (a personal favorite of mine given his 3+D potential.) That's 10 top prospects for a team that gets to pick # 9. "Weak draft" or not, that's a nice position to be in. The mistake would be reaching on need, because this team needs to stack their depth chart with more talent all around.
previous offseason blueprints
submitted by ZandrickEllison to nba [link] [comments]

2020.09.30 12:19 lolpolice88 Heather Te Au Skipworth - Māori Party, Elizabeth Kerekere - Green Party, Meka Whaitiri (incumbent) - Labour Party in Ikaroa-Rāwhiti election debate. Māori TV.
"Ikaroa-Rawhiti has been held by Labour since its creation in 1999, first by Parekura Horomia until his death in 2013 and now his successor, Meka Whatiri.
This year the electorate saw the Tuia 250 event, which celebrated Pakeha deceiving and stealing from Māori with paid kupapa help, attracting criticism from local groups and many others across Aotearoa, particularly when it commemorated Captain James Cook's first voyage to this country and the subsequent fatal encounter with local Maori.
As with many other iwi, the people of Ikaroa-Rāwhiti were quick to act when Covid-19 crossed the borders. Many iwi responded with manaakitanga and response plans for its communities.
According to the 2018 Census, the electorate's biggest industries are manufacturing, followed by agriculture, forestry and fishing. The electorate is a big contributor to horticulture as well, with the largest area of land used for growing food in the North Island. Over one-fifth (21.4%) of the Māori descent population over 15 had personal income between $30,000 and $50,000, the highest share among the Māori electorates.
This year’s candidates for Ikaroa-Rāwhiti are:
Labour Party
Born and raised in Manutuke, Gisborne and educated in Hastings, Meka Whaitiri was head girl at Karamu High School. She also played netball and softball at a national level. Her passion for Māori governance grew from her sound knowledge of how government and Parliament work. Whaitiri rose to become the deputy secretary of the Department of Labour and senior adviser to then Māori Affairs Minister Parekura Horomia. She has held pivotal roles in both Rongowhakaata and Ngāti Kahungunu iwi.
Māori Party
Heather Te Au-Skipworth QSM, founder and chief executive of IronMāori, will contest the seat for the Māori Party. She is a descendant of Ngāti Kahu, Ngāti Kahungunu and Te Arawa. Heather joins Debbie Ngarewa-Packer (Te Tai Hauāuru) and Rawiri Waititi (Waiariki) in a resurgent and refreshed Māori Party team.
Green Party
An activist and researcher for almost 40 years, Elizabeth Kerekere has focused on kaupapa Māori and Te Tiriti issues. As a leader and mentor within Rainbow, suicide prevention and youth development sectors for over 30 years, she has represented human rights issues overseas, including at the UN. She works on local and national projects across mental health, violence prevention, indigenous human rights and youth development. Elizabeth has ties to Ngāti Oneone, Te Aitanga a Māhaki, Whānau a Kai and Rongowhakaata.
For a second time this week, Māori voters have shown a clear preference for a Labour-Māori Party coalition, this time in Ikaroa-Rāwhiti in a Māori Television Curia Market Research poll released tonight.
Some 49% of Ikaroa-Rāwhiti voters said they prefer a Labour coalition with the Māori Party, rather than the Green Party or New Zealand First. On Monday, Te Tai Hauāuru voters (in the western North Island) polled for the first of eight Māori Television election debates also threw their support behind a Labour-Māori Party coalition, with 50% favouring the arrangement.
The Green Patry is a strong second choice as Labour partner for Ikaroa-Rāwhiti voters, preferred by 40%, and New Zealand First is third choice with 23%.
This mirrors Te Tai Hauāuru where voters also backed the Greens (38%) as second pick but showed greater support than Ikaroa-Rāwhiti voters for New Zealand First (27%) as a third preference to work with Labour.
On Wednesday's second Māori Television election date, current MP Labour's Meka Whaitiri said the voters would ultimately decide what shape the government took.

Related wahine

"I'd like to say I could make that decision who we go into coalition with but my pay rate's not that high," Whaitiri joked.
"Like I said, we're all related, the three of us, and I know our hearts are in the right place but, ultimately, our voters will decide who to send in as their candidate and who their party is that's going to govern."
Her Māori Party counterpart and whanaunga, Heather Te Au-Skipworth, had no problems saying which way her party would go.
"We absolutely could work with Labour. Our leaders, both John Tamihere and Debbie Ngarewa-Packer, have been really clear in saying we will not go with National," she said.
Te Au-Skipworth acknowledged that some Māori Party members would prefer that the party remain on the cross-benches and not align with any government party.
"We will have to go back to our constituents but some are saying that, some are saying sit on the cross-bench and fire."

Whānau will decide

The Green Party's Elizabeth Kerekere acknowledged the strong support for a Labour-Greens coalition but said Māori would have the final say on what happens.
"Our whānau will decide what they want. Just make good decisions people," she said.
With two recent polls saying different things, it is anyone's guess whether Labour will be able to govern alone after the election or may need a coalition partner.
Māori voters in two of the Māori electorates polled so far by Māori Television are clear they want Labour to work with the Māori Party. But for that to happen, the Māori Party must first take one of the Māori seats from Labour or get 5% of the party vote.
With the Māori Party hovering around 1 to 1.5% in recent polls, the party's best and likely only bet is to win a Māori electorate seat. On the basis of this week's polls, Ikaroa-Rāwhiti and Te Tai Hauāuru voters appear to be indicating that they will not be providing the electorate win the Māori Party is chasing.
The Māori Television Curia Market Research poll was conducted between September 28-29, with a total of 499 voters canvassed. Polling was by landline and mobile with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 per cent.
Tonight's debate had Meka Whaitiri defending her seat for Ikaroa-Rāwhiti with the Māori Party’s Heather Te Au-Skipworth and Green Party’s Elizabeth Kerekere quick on her heels.
Even though the polls showed Whaitiri and Labour with a clear lead, that didn't stop Te Au-Skipworth and Kerekere.
Joining political reporter Rukuwai Tipene-Allen on Māori Television's review panel tonight was policy and business analyst Will Workman (Ngāti Kahungunu -ki Wairarapa) and young Māori leader Julia Whaipooti (Ngāti Porou).
Workman asked if Whaitirihad the will and passion to push forward in politics, citing that as a concern but on the flip side said she brought ample experience.
He also said that Te Au-Skipworth using Iron Māori as a leverage point was a weak one.
“I’ve run Iron Māori, Meka has run Iron Māori and so has others. Event management is not the same as being a representative of Parliament.”
But he was excited to hear Te Au-Skipworth's more "radical" side and was looking forward to see how far the Māori Party was willing to push it.
He noted that Kerekere wasn’t pushing for the candidate vote and asked voters to tick Green Party. Workman believed this was a letdown for Kerekere and hoped she was more forceful on her campaign.

Not one size fits all

Whaipooti said that the possibility of all three wahine entering Parliament was real but questioned whether they all had the skills to justify the role.
“Māori aren’t one size fits all and neither is Ikaroa-Rāwhiti … more representation is a good problem we have”
She said it had to be hard for candidates, considering the size of the electorate, to get around and spread their messages.
On employment, Workman said he wanted to hear the candidates talk about the issue given that predictions were that Māori unemployment would double to almost 100,000 due to Covid-19.
Whaipooti said that while Covid-19 was a big contributor to job losses, it also highlighted another issue.
“Covid-19 has also given an opportunity for government to all of a sudden pour out millions, billions of dollars, which has not been a problem during Covid-19. But the bigger pandemic is the harm that has been caused to our whanau.”
She said Te Tai Rawhiti had always been a leader in negative statistics before the pandemic.
“I don’t want Covid-19 to be the handbrake … if the millions of dollars could flow so easily because of Covid-19, then why is it not pouring even more now?.”'
submitted by lolpolice88 to Maori [link] [comments]

2020.09.29 14:42 Selvyr_ 33 [M4F] #Tokyo #Japan - Nerdy guy looking for a nerdy companion.

Let's see...
Well, I've been single since I moved to Japan a few years back, not for a lack of trying. I tend to be attracted more to nerdy and creative types, so if you're into stuff like video games, board games and the like, or if you have a talent for drawing, singing (ESPECIALLY SINGING) or playing instruments, that's a huge plus.
About me:
If any of that sounds awesome to you? Hit me up in the DMs. We can chat for a bit, exchange pics, see if anything clicks and maybe we can go somewhere for coffee or some other social-distance-friendly activity.
submitted by Selvyr_ to ForeverAloneDating [link] [comments]

2020.09.24 16:54 lcdrdata How should I take time off from work?

I am very privileged to have the following dilemma. Offer me advice anyway please. (This comes around to being LGBT-related, I swear.)
At my job, we can accumulate basically unlimited sick time (I work full-time for the state). I am FTM, and took some medical leave earlier this year to have a hysterectomy. Nobody at work knows what surgery I had, as I'm stealth there. I used sick time for it, and still have almost two weeks sick time remaining. Because of covid, my partner and I also cancelled a couple of shorter trips we had planned, and now I have 9 days remaining this year to take off or I lose them.
I'm considering asking HR if I can retroactively change a week of my sick leave earlier this year to vacation time. Effectively this would give me back a week of sick time, but it also leaves me with fewer days off during the next three months. I'd still have four days off this year, plus holidays. My job is stressful and high-workload so time off is important for our mental health.
Getting back a week of sick time would put me closer to being able to take time off for gender confirmation (genital) surgery.. but if I'm honest I haven't 100% decided whether I want that surgery or not. Minus the possible further gender surgery, I probably would just take the time off this year.. but since having the hysto I've been thinking more and more about further surgery.
TLDR: Should I get back a week of sick time or take that week as vacation before 12/31?
submitted by lcdrdata to lgbt [link] [comments]

2020.09.23 16:11 FrankyWNL Rooted device? You got a major advantage in Eden, DD and normal game!

Rooted device? You got a major advantage in Eden, DD and normal game!
UPDATE 14/10: As per today it seems to be (temporarily) patched serverside, not for everyone. However it seems to be bypassable. But since the devs are not dedicated to programming and use old systems, more doors will open in-time. Keep an eye on the subreddit of LastShelter for more things to be found, or join our Line group; link in the comments, or add me on Line; frankyww.
Become a member of our group, get updates fast that won't be public immedialitely.

This only applies when your device, or BlueStacks, is rooted. But you could keep on reading for interesting magic!

Before we continue
This post is about my personal findings and I would like to share that with the community. These are NOT hacks. Some players might already have this advantage, but that is something I am not sure about. In the last (plus minus) two years I have not seen such player yet. - I will start writing the story, followed by some how-to's.
I have notified the Customer Service many times. Also wrote them emails, but never got a reply. The only reply in-game I received was that they are only a part of the customer service and they have no idea.
Now, what I will write here, with examples, doesn't mean that I actually used all of it. I'm showing that things are possible. Me and an alliance-friend had our fun in Eden and the normal DoomsDay. In Eden where he actually became the first without spending hundreds of dollars. For example: we rallied a level 16 tile when we could only take a 10, allowing all players in the rally to finish the quests for tiling a level 10-11-12-13-14-15 and 16 tile.
In the last year and a half we have not got banned for doing this. And we've had many advantages, also in the Alliance and Doomsday shop; things that could be changed. Unfortunately it seems like that part is patched, but who knows what you will find! Anyway, the previous Eden, State 900005, K4H: thanks for the awesome play and rewards, becoming #1!

UPDATE 23-09/19:30: I want to point out that things like DoomsDay/Eden, the chat and what happened with the 250+ feather boxes are NOT visual. It absolutely affects your gameplay and it is truly giving the advantage over those who have no. Same with the T10, I had them in my State weeks before they officially got 'activated', as wel as the Cutting Edge technology.
UPDATE 23-09/19:45: I added two more updates at the bottom, information about mails, chats, user-database that is accessible without root, and possible encryption of mail contents that is (maybe not checked on serverside.****************************)
UPDATE 23-09/20:00: Partner-in-crime gave me the proper link to rooting BlueStacks. Really easy. Update on the bottom.
UPDATE 24-09/08:45: if you're going to change the skilltree for Doomsday, remember to to it EXACTLY as described, which INCLUDES the quote at the end, the pipe ( and the ; sign.)

What are you talking about?

So, in the last two years of playing, the last 18 months I've been playing with an advantage. I am definitely not talking about an advantage in spending thousands of USD, an advantage that in almost all cases you could get for free when your device is rooted. But not just that, how about changing any avatar of any user in-game, or find out all the previous ones?
Think about an advantage in Eden or Doomsday which gives you at least 10-15 more tiles than anyone else. Or that you can unlock all the processing plants with just 12 skillpoints (Doomsday, blue skillset, left side). Or an advantage in the normal game, having buildings that most states don't own yet, or what about putting the gathering plots back. It is all possible. Keep reading!

An example of the Skillset; this also applies to red and green

It started with your sensitive data

It all started about 18 months ago when I found out that your data in the game is not safe at all. A lot of sensitive data was (is) being processed to a pretty old PHP 5.4 server which isn't updated or secure. The server was also vulnerable to blind SQL injections, but that's another story. Beside that, I figured out a way to access local data like the Feather Boxes. It wasn't uncommon to have 250 of them and be able to open them without serverside checking. That's how I started to dig deeper.
Found all the data was being stored on the device
After some playing around when having my phone connected to my Linux system, I was able to read the I/O. I saw interesting data and saw that every few times I would open the game, the game would download XML files from their server to my phone. These XML files were configurable files and could be altered. After a few changes I had build the VIP shop when being just B16; didn't buy it though, so it was still locked. That was my first advantage, if I would buy it.
Then came the resource plots, those you could put next to your base and start gathering. Why limit them to a few when you can have 100 of each? Now, why would someone do that you may ask? It was fun with CoZ events and later DoomsDay.
More fun we had was when having T10 before State #1 even had it. Giving the game an error after a while, unable to boot until we undid it. But hey, it was possible.

So, what about changing (payloaded) avatars?

Well, after I found out that they not only store your data on the server, your avatars, voice messages and all chat is unencrypted. And so is your password, which is being sent base64-encoded over plain text.
I found out that as soon as I upload an avatar, a request is being made to a non-secure (HTTP) website containing my sequence of uploaded images (number of total uploaded images, added with 1). I thought, if they would save all my images in sequence, they would be saving the old ones. Which I was right about. The only problem was the encryption key they use for saving the images. That one took me 30 minutes to decrypt using already known data of the user. Which I will not explain in public, since it's not ethic.
Payloaded images were also possible. That means that I was able to, for example, add a location script to my image finding locations of players. Or upload animated gifs (it happened!). With this option, it said that the server was totally unsecure, allowing me to upload files directly to their server. And that is where your data is stored.
Back to viewing other players avatars and changing them; knowing their userID, based on your local files which you will read about a little later, you're able to change anyones avatar. Again, it's not ethic to tell you how. Just saying that this is possible. I myself have only done it on my own farm accounts, giving them an image without paying.

The game runs through a websocket

Reading chat from your browser, viewing the news from any device without opening the game or even view every base on the map. It's all possible once you know your way through connecting to the public unsecured websocket. If you connect as another user, that user will be kicked out of the game and is forced to reconnect. Reading chat from other alliances is also possible. At any state. An old example when reading chat with permission of the user:
A sample of reading chat from terminal
Viewing bases? Positions?
Let's say that in theory this is possible. And it is possible without it only being a theory ;-). There are a few websockets available that do literally everything in the game. That's why you are forced to reload the game once you leave the game for a second or two; the websocket loses its connection.

Okay. Now, what about the files?

So now after showing you the basic about the possibilities about this unfair and unbalanced games that, which we all know of, the developers don't give a cowpoop about. It's time to show you how to change files and get a huge advantage over other players. Hopefully forcing the developers to finally update this game in stead of making a few clones of the game. How would you like this in your base or even.... outside of your base?
Using your rooted (Android) device or BlueStacks you should go to the following location:
  • data/data/
You will find many many files there of which I will explain a few of them. The rest is up to you. Which also includes the skilltree for DoomsDay as you've seen above, the skilltree for T10 vehicles can do the same, etc. The few most important files are as follow (yes you can even enable data up to B30, having seeing that you can build mines!):
  • dataConfig.cfg
    • This file contains data for your State. Yes, each State have this config but each State have different settings. That's how the very first states got T10 at first (officially ;)). But many things can be enabled and disabled in this file. This is an important file and should be processed as an XML file. If you cannot process the file as XML, remove the DOCTYPE line from the top; that will make it a valid XML.
  • DD_\.xml*
    • This files contains many settings for Doomsday. As I would love to give you an example: DD_Talent.xml and DD_TalentConnect.xml will hold the data for the skilltrees in Doomsday, making it able to get the same results and above. Explanation later.
  • Science_\.xml*
    • This file holds the T10 skilltree. The Cutting Edge skill-tree. Sience_Point.xml and Science_Level.xml should both be edited in order to to some magic tricks and, for example, get more troops with less skillpoints.
As there are many many other files, it's up to you to play with the dataConfig.cfg file. Once I started, I changed all 0 values to 1 in stead of the 0. Or the other way around. This first unlocked many many new things (like the Combat Base in State 700+). If you changed too much, well, it's time to undo it and change some step by step..

The dataConfig Eden advantage (example)

As mentioned, this one holds a lot of State configuration. But only for your account. Play around with it as mentioned above. In Eden you are not allowed to have a DoomsDay Investment Plan, giving you the advantage of more tiles, faster marching speed and faster processing, free resources each day, you name it. Well, now or after a week, why don't you look for the setting moritouza and set that value to 1. Now you have the unlimited possibility to buy the Doomsday Investment Plan (yes, buy for 10$, which is the ONLY thing we bought to get this advantage). Once you can't see it or cannot collect your free resources, get back to your own State and it should be there (or enable the option again!). It is important to know that the plan is active during the whole week no matter if you see it or not. You will have a lot of extra tiles, marching speed and processing plant speed.
But not only Eden - There are many hidden gems in there. Many. Many. It's not looking for a needle in a haystack, it's just looking at the key-names and play around a lot. It took me a while to figure out some interesting stuff like the ultra zoom above.
Some things are serversides; meaning you can easily update your money income to 10G per second, but that will not be saved. You will find out.

Would you like to have T10 in your State? See if it's enabled!

Look inside the dataConfig file for soldiers_10 and new_train_UE and something else with _UE. Set those values to 1. Try and see if it worked for you. Sometimes you might get an error saying: "This function is coming soon". It means your State is ready and should expect is to come soon. Oh, and check your Technology tree; you should see something new that you can start with, even when not allowing to have T10 ;)

The skilltree advantage in Eden and T10

This is a funny one and fairly easy to get these results, as an example my alliance-friend who actually managed to get to #1 with these advantages, his farms scored really high as well. And not a little:

Becoming #1 with the changes

Second Skillset; example
This change is pretty simple and it will give a huge advantage. Really a huge advantage:
  1. Open the files DD_Talent.xml and DD_TalentConnect.xml
  2. In each of them carefully follow these steps using search/replace function in your favourite editor, including the special characters, like quotes and pipes. It is possible that some replacements can not be found, don't worry, just continue. I edited so many files in the past, I can't remember which one was available in what file :) -->
    1. Replace _5; with _1;
    2. Replace _4; with _1;
    3. Replace _3; with _1;
    4. Replace _2; with _1;
    5. Replace _5 with _1
    6. Replace _4 with _1
    7. Replace _3 with _1
    8. Replace _2 with _1
    9. Replace _5" with _1"
    10. Replace _4" with _1"
    11. Replace _3" with _1"
    12. Replace _2" with _1"
    13. Replace needLv="5" to needLv="1"
    14. Replace needLv="4" to needLv="1"
    15. Replace needLv="3" to needLv="1"
    16. Replace needLv="2" to needLv="1"
If I am not mistaken, this should definitely allowing you to get to the next skill with just one level out of three. There are options like maxLv, but you shouldn't touch them. It only changes the 1/3 to for example 1/1 if you change the maxLv to 1. It doesn't change anything else and has no value if you put them on 99. We tried ;)
UPDATE: Make sure you just use 1/3 as skill level after 'patching' it. Then go to the next bubble, that one should be unlocked now.

The skilltree advantage for T10 Cutting Edge

The same changes should work for Sience_Point.xml and Science_Level.xml, however we only managed to get this to work once, since we stopped playing. It is possible and we've done it. It's even possible to do this little tricks:

How about T10 in your Duel?

There is so much more

There is so much more to write and to do, for example skinning of bases and not limited to making your own bases with huge spikes and glows, making them visible much easier. That is not possible in the dataConfig or XML files, but it is in the same directory. Look for the skins; they are build with a tool that later reads the PNG images (also in another folder) and easily manipulatable:

Having this skin on all my farms with an injection by the files, that was removed by the devs a few days later. However, the tiles still work ;-) Search for 'recourse', yes with the spelling error.

Scroll fast, see big! (only visible to you, good for Killing Event)
I would love to tell you so much more. But it's up to the community to find some more fantastic gems and possibly share it around. That would be awesome.

Update 2: Mail encryption

This is more for the techguys; the mail has a specific encryption I did not manage to decrypt yet. But I did not spend a lot of time on it. It could be possible to send out different mail items than the original mail contains. There is one encryption on the ID of the mail. If you change that without 'receiving' the contents, the contents cannot be received. If you "undo" the received items and try to receive them again, the game alerts you that the items have been received. This is what you can, right now only visually, can change. BUT I am a little bit more confident this is not checked serverside, beside the MD5 encrypted key (older screenshot):

Right now this is just visual. But, only the encryption key should match the contents of the mail. Once that MD5 has been decrypted / encryption key has been found, we could be very happy :)

Update 3: Where are the database files?

The database files can be found not in the root of your device, but just on your Internal Storage. I used an app called SQL Lite for this. The path of the database files, which holds user data of all players you've been in touch with / been online at the same time, chat messages, private messages, mail with contents as above, etc., is:
  • Internal Storage / storage / emulated / 0 / data / data / /
In there you will see numbers. Those numbers are for each account stored on your device. Open it. In there is a file called chat_service.db which holds all the messages, mails, chats, etc. from the game of your account. Look around!

Update 4: How to root BlueStacks

My alliance friend cq. partner-in-crime has send me the proper link to how to root BlueStacks. Profit from it. It's really easy!

One more tip:

Use some version control (like git) to easily see the changes to your files when you download them locally to your computer. It also makes things much easier to find out if the developers add something new, or remove something you don't like. I did use [ROOT]ANMPP - FTP\NGINX\MYSQL\PGSQL\PHP-FPM SERVER from the Google Playstore. That one has a BFTPD server that allowed me to connect to my phone instantly, with root (user: root, password: root).
Good luck out there. And if you have any questions, I'll try to respond to them as soon as I can.
submitted by FrankyWNL to Lastshelter [link] [comments]

2020.09.23 03:24 FrankTimS 21 Rocket League Ideas

New Rocket League Ideas
I’m not a day one player but I love the game. I was hesitant to post here because of all the new F2P things going on, not everybody is happy about some of the changes. But I think this F2P move is the perfect time to introduce some new ideas.I understand some of these are not really that realistic but I would love to see some implemented in future versions.
Here was what I play and where a large amount of my ideas come from: I play mostly ranked all types, casual 2s and 3s for warming up, and an occasional match of rumble and dropshot to get out of a bad groove (never snow day lol).
I know some of these have already been brought up, but let me know what you think! 👍
  1. A Ghost power up in rumble. The user selects another enemy player and puts them in “ghost mode” where the player will go through cars and the ball.
  2. Ranked only demo penalties: once a player gets a certain number of demos, apply a player timeout, a couple seconds, spawn as if you yourself were demoed. Number of demoes should be on the higher side maybe 4 to 6.
  3. MMR changes: when a game is being played while a team is at a disadvantage (player disconnects or leaves early). The mmr change should be lowered on both the winning and losing team. the player who has left will receive the full mmr penalty. If the player rejoins before a time threshold no mmr changes will be applied. Although people do have intermittent internet issues the other players should not be penalized for it.
  4. Allow customizations or decals to the ball. Each player can select a decal in there garage. Then at match startup the game will select a random one to implement including the default.
  5. To help with distance or “depth” perception, make the name tag appear smaller and bigger as the player gets farther or closer to the ball. Or something of this effect.
  6. Display MMR and plus minus on all ranks, either in the tag or when selecting a game mode.
  7. Show win or loss streak at the game type selection.
  8. Perform a ping check to restrict a player from playing until there ping is under a threshold for (only for ranked).
  9. Add Rocket league fantasy something to give daily users to make there selections. Provide A top Fantasy prize or specific items for guessing correctly, lower prize for making all selections.
  10. For common wheels allow the user to use credits to change the paint color. Color would be random.
  11. In the clan menu track clan stats: wins, losses, and individual player stats when playing in clan matches. Maybe number of days inactive. Clan rewards. Some of this would be useless to most but a nice to have.
  12. Add color mods to the headlights, these can be gathered only as car specific items.
  13. Allow users to share custom training packs, when shared it would show up in the favorites or created menu (just give a time limit so the user can choose to keep it there or let it drop off)
  14. Allow multiple players to choose whether or not they want to join a leaders training session.
  15. I don’t care for fortnite but the more themed items the better. For example I think Epic has partnered with Marvel, this opens the door to more themes and events.
  16. Implement more servers to help the gameplay across regions.
  17. I’m a software developer so I know users love ease of use. Add a couple extra clicks and a large portion of users will go crazy. Maybe keep something similar to the older UI’s usability but add a little spice like the updated UI.
  18. Probably won’t sit well with most of the user base but maybe introduce the capability to vote for a random set of maps before match start or while the game loads.
  19. Add demo explosion themes.
  20. Allow for custom quick chat with character limits. use the same word checker that is used in game chat along with the Reporting tool to eliminate unwanted character combos.
  21. Add the “Find new match” option in both ranked and casual instead of going all the way back to main menu.
“That was fun!” “gg”
submitted by FrankTimS to RocketLeague [link] [comments]

2020.09.18 04:32 Cland3stined 25 [M4F] California: East Bay - Gaming? Eating great food? Hiking? Let's try it all and more together!

Howdy partner!
Been around the block a bit and it's high time to take action to put myself out there. As with most things (besides durians), I'm eager and excited to try a new chapter of my life to find a significant other.
The basic facts about me:
Little tidbits about me:
What I'm looking for:
Please, tell me more about yourself too such as your hobbies, likes/dislikes, fun tidbits which are always nice. Perhaps, throw out a philosophical perspective that you think is conversationally engaging. I'm always down to think about new perspectives.
Thanks for reading and if you want to talk more, PM me! Looking forward to it!
submitted by Cland3stined to r4r [link] [comments]

2020.09.17 15:26 idi0ts4ndwich my past life

i did the past life regression hypnosis from tiktok a while back and wanted to share my experience doing it, plus how some of it seems to connect to this life.
during the first part, i was in a field with a colorful flowers, 3 small, wooden houses, and mountains close by. some pictures i found of a place in colorado matched best to where i lived, minus the houses. i was a man in that life (im a girl now lol) and i was pretty tan and had brown hair. i was wearing a light beige colored fedora with a black ribbon thing around it (idk what its called), a white button up shirt with the sleeves rolled up to my elbows, a black tie, a navy blue vest and pants, a brown belt with a gold buckle, and brown shoes with gold buckles that matched the belt. also, the pants were pretty tight fitting but not like skinny jean tight, and they were short enough to show my ankles. i think this was around the late 1800s and early 1990s, but i’m not sure. i posted a sim i made of what i looked at if you want to go look at it.
next, when it takes you to the most important day of that life, i was laying in the grass at night. there were more stars in the sky than i’vex ever seen now since it was so dark out. i looked to my right and another man was laying next to me, looking at me and smiling. he had an outgrown buzzcut that was longer on the top, a short mustache, and bright blue eyes. he wore a white button up and black pants, but i dont remember the shoes he had. we were both laughing at nothing, just out of happiness i suppose. i moved closer to him and we started cuddling, so i’m assuming he was my partner and this was the day we both knew we loved each other.
finally, it takes you to your last day of that life. an angry man who looked like the older version of my partner- probably my partner’s dad- threw me into a driveway, or somewhere with gravel. basically he kicked the shit out of me, probably because he found out about me and his son. i was laying on the ground, covered in blood on my left side. my partners dad had went back into his house and my partner ran up to me. we were both crying, and he put his hand on my cheek and repeatedly said that he loved me. i was in too much pain to say it back, and that’s how i died.
i saw one of my spirit guides, saphire (yes, spelled like that lol) who i’ve actually communicated with through auto scripting, so i recognized who she was. i told her “i’m not done yet”. she told me something along the lines of “it’s okay. be who you are”.
while doing the regression hypnosis, during the part where i was dying, the left side of my body felt sore. i have 4 birthmarks- one under my left eye, one in front of my left ear, one under my left arm, and one on my back. this seems to line up with the theory of birthmarks being how you died in a past life. however, my mom thinks the birthmark on my back was from a past life where i died in a fire since it used to be really red, and i have a fear of fire. maybe i’ll do the past life regression again someday and see if thats true.
i’ve been really paranoid about death recently (this started before i tried the past life regression), but i’ve felt that i still have important things to do before i do, so i would tell myself that i’m not done yet, so the fact that i told my spirit guide that i wasn’t done is so crazy to me.
i’m a hopeless romantic who hasn’t really been in a serious relationship. i’ve had one boyfriend in the sixth grade, but that’s it. i’ve had crushes, but the only one of them that i think i truly loved was my ex best friend, but i guess it was the wrong place and wrong time. even his girlfriend (aka the reason i stopped talking to him bc the only way to get rid of the feelings i had for him was to cut him off) told a mutual friend of ours that she thought we liked each other. anyways, i have a lot of love to give, but i haven’t found my partner yet. i never dated in high school and i tried tinder, but whenever i would talk to someone on there, it just didn’t feel right. i’ve been questioning my sexuality more than ever these past few months, and i’m pretty sure i’m bi but i think the trauma of being hate crimed in that life is causing me to have internalized biphobia, because i love and support the lgbtq+ community and don’t hate being part of it, i just don’t want anyone to know and probably haven’t even said it out loud. i suppose this is why saphire told me “it’s okay. be who you are.” basically i’m guessing that i will find my partner in that life here, and they probably won’t be a male.
sorry this was really long and probably doesn’t make much sense it’s 8:26 am and i haven’t slept lol
tldr: i was a gay man in my past life who was beaten to death by my partner’s homophobic dad and some of my scars/birthmarks and trauma carried over into this life.
submitted by idi0ts4ndwich to pastlives [link] [comments]

2020.09.16 03:40 gough3-14 long term roleplay over discord !!

for starters - hello, my name is harvey, i use he/him pronouns and i'm flaming, and i am eighteen years of age. i'm looking for a good-old-fashioned gay roleplay and to make some friends through it, nothing more! i am happily taken in person.
i have a few ground rules i want to go into detail about and, be warned, it's a doozy.
and now, to the good stuff - what is it exactly that i'm interested in? well, i'm glad you asked. currently only have one plot that i'm still looking forward to writing with:
i've been wanting to use this baseball player character of mine for a bit now! i also love the world of drag and the story behind how it came to be and what it means to those in the LGBT community. aside from that - have a good day/night, all! thanks for the time and i really appreciate you if you read all the way down here (,:
submitted by gough3-14 to RoleplayPartnerSearch [link] [comments]

2020.09.14 12:21 SneaselSW2 BlazBlue: Cross Tag Battle control scheme rework: REPOST


First off, forgive me for the vitriol. This game is still a bit of a guilty pleasure to think about (such as its OST) as much as I personally despise its current state, people's denial of specific issues such as performance specs (looking at you, Shini), shilling it with massive misconceptions (trying to claim a 3.0 rumor for clicks is a dick move, Avataryaya), horrible PR from day 1, Mori's lack of care in handling this game's development, the overly greedy early DLC, and wasted potential.
And having to remember that yes, I shouldn't hold everyone to such a bad standard who like this game, but it goes to show how much I cared for 5 of the series crossed-over into this awkward mess of a game.
Plus, to quote one of my pals who hates this game alongside me at times, 2.0 is only a half-fixed game. Yes, they rebalanced A TON of mechanics, but the control scheme and the character moveset allocations leave much to be desired to many tastes, especially mine.
The main issue I tend to have with most ASW fighters nowadays is how they "cram" moves on such a reduced scheme which forces a lot of characters to end up homogeneous in a very unintuitive sense. If we look at games like most of the Marvel vs. Capcom games starting from X-Men vs. Street Fighter and Tatsunoko vs. Capcom, those games give a majority of the cast a far more intuitive button scheme as tag fighting games, yet are deemed as difficult in execution (ngl about that).
Plus, BBTag DOES HAVE GOOD IDEAS. However, while are good on their own, the way they are meshed altogether in this game's state really gives bad vibes to someone like me who has their own way of wanting to design a fighting game, as per my Deviantart that hosts a ton of my ideas which sadly, has been shat on by the Eclipse update like the rest of them.
While I have my own way to design a fighting game despite lack of programming skills, this is solely in the context of BBTag. Seeing a Technical Mode mod for only Ragna and Hyde on this subreddit really upset me personally, especially when most other mod-makers in other communities focus on exploding shit and swimsuits (yes, it's that bad elsewhere like in Naruto Storm) as opposed to actually reworking their games like how Project M was born.
(Also, please people, as much as you wanna eat this up, don't send ASW the message to have them keep scheming their games like this....even though Dragon Ball FighterZ is beloved by a lot, there's still so many polarizing things with that game like the netcode and control schemes for everyone compared to older games...)
First off, let's go over how I want to remap the controls. Even though Mori will never see this, I want to foster some food for thought.


A: Weak Attack (弱攻撃, Jaku Kougeki)
B: Medium Attack (中攻撃, Chuu Kougeki)
C: Strong Attack (強攻撃, Kyou Kougeki)
D: Dual Strike (デュアルストライク, Dyuaru Sutoraiku)
E: Change (チェンジ, Chenji)
P: Partner Skill (パートナースキル, Paatonaa Sukiru)

Other tidbits:

Example changes with some select characters:

Ragna the Bloodedge:
Yuu Narukami:
Hyde Kido:
Ruby Rose:
submitted by SneaselSW2 to blazbluextagbattle [link] [comments]

2020.09.12 20:59 togenkyos Where Did I go Wrong? I need someone.

Hi. I am scared to post this, very scared but I have to. I feel like i really need some help and insight. I don't know what to do. I genuinely apologize if this is long but I really, just need to get this out of my head. If you actually read all this then thank you, I sincerely mean that.
When I was 14 I met someone online. I felt like he was the only person I could talk to. I was in an abusive household. I know for a fact that I was not emotionally or mentally stable even at that young age (I'm 22 now). It started out with me feeling like I needed someone to be close to.
This person was quite aloof with me when we were friends, but we both loved talking to each other. We became close fairly fast (like within 7 months). After some drama with him cheating on a girl, we started dating. Yes this was dumb, but I figured we were both so young that it wouldn't matter and he wouldn't do it to me. Typical teenager thinking. I was extremely happy, he was extremely happy, I felt like I finally had someone who listened to me and loved me. All was well, I thought. Anyway, we had a really strong bond, both came from shitty households and looking back we were both very clearly extremely co-dependent. I'd say I was more dependent on him than he was on me, but not always. I can't possibly cover everything that happened during the relationship, but if you'll bare with me I will try my best. I would tell him all about how terrible I felt and how bad my life was, and in turn he said he would be my family and essentially rescue me from them. I felt like I didn't have to be scared anymore. Looking back, I realize that I never should have dumped my problems onto him.
The first time we met IRL, we had a tense moment. We were 15 at this point btw. Everything was fine until he started touching my leg (?) and I flipped out and started crying. I vaguely remember that we got into an argument because he wanted to do sexual things, I said I wasn't ready and I remember trying to hug him but he didn't hug me back and seemed angry. I felt really hurt and emotionally rejected by this, but I guess he felt rejected bc I felt like I wasn't ready to do sexual things with him. I kind of got angry and was mean bc I felt pressured. Also, we would talk about it over text before we met up but, I didn't sext anyone before him. Sorry for the slight TMI.
The next day everything was fine, we were still happy and didn't do anything except kiss that time. However, slowly things started to fall apart. The more I'd depend on him for shit, he'd try to help but eventually get too frustrated and just tell me to stop. He didn't know how to handle it and I don't blame him. I had severe mental and emotional issues. Sometimes he would lash out at me and say to get over it, sometimes he would say really mean things. But I don't blame him for saying those things. He shouldn't have taken care of me. I should have taken care of myself. I wish I wouldn't have opened up to him so much. I feel so bad about this, I didn't mean to make him feel like he had to take care of me, but I did. I can't undo this.
The first big blow I would say came when I found out he sexted one of our mutual friends behind my back. Yes that's pretty small. It's not like he cheated on me irl, but I flipped. Shit. I freaked out and told him how betrayed I felt and how could he do this to me etc. He apologized eventually? I think? And seemed upset. I also lashed out at the friend that he "cheated" on me with and he said I was "fucking batshit" or something along those lines. I told my boyfriend that I felt the guy was unnecessarily mean to me, because tbh I was just really sad, but my boyfriend took his side and essentially said he felt sexually repressed bc I didn't want to do anything with him IRL. I started to think that it was my fault and I was in the wrong, because to be honest I acted unhinged a lot of times. I wish I wouldn't have acted like such an immature asshole. Eventually when we were like 17, he cheated on me IRL with a close friend of his. (I want to clarify that we're both bisexual) I think his friend told me himself that this happened. I then confronted my boyfriend about it and was very angry and betrayed. He again, said the same thing about being sexually repressed which tbh I think is pretty valid especially for a teenager and I shouldn't have gotten so angry about it. However I was still angry and broke up with him because to me it was "the last straw". This is where things started to get.... weird.
See, I knew I had to break up with him because I did not want to be lied to anymore. I was sick of it. So I blocked him on everything. However, he eventually found a way around that, begging to talk to me. I blocked him again. I remember crying bc I felt so conflicted. I didn't want him to be upset but at the same time I was done. He then messaged me from his friend's phone, pretending to be his friend "(Boyfriends name) wanted to talk to you, hes really upset etc" I knew it was him though. I do not remember exactly how this happened, but I remember that he sent me a picture of a cut on his arm/was threatening to kill himself? If I didn't talk to him? I felt scared, but I resolved to be strong and had no further contact with him for about 6 months. Plus I would tell him about how I wanted to die all the time so I thought that if he did it then... it was okay because I did it too. Not in the same way as him but I still expected him to fix me when he could not. I was stupid. I got involved with someone else in a bad relationship, for about the 6 months I did not talk to him. This person was older than me (22 I think) and manipulative, he also would get sexual with me. I didn't like it but I went along with it because I didn't want to lose him. Eventually we had a big falling out bc the guy was quite frankly terrifying, and I went running back to my ex. He was hesitant to take me back, he shouldn't have taken me back. But he gave me another chance. This was when the real mistake started that should have never happened and I will regret for the rest of my life.
The abuse in my household got worse and I became more and more off the rails. This is not, in any shape or form an excuse for how I acted. I became paranoid. He had a close girl friend and I constantly accused him of cheating on me with her. I do not and will not ever know if this was true, however I wish I would have just believed him when he told me he was not cheating. It could have saved us both so much bullshit. Eventually... yes this is laughable and I am ashamed to say it. She slept on his lap. As in, she used his lap as a pillow. I flipped and messaged her saying something along the lines of "He's my boyfriend not yours, stay away from him". Yeah, literally just because she slept on his lap. They were never close friends since and he became upset with me, which I do not blame him for. I should have never fucked up his friendship with her. I did apologize to her as well as to him but it did not matter, the damage was already done. I could have done so much better.
After he expressed that he wanted an open relationship, the paranoia got worse. I tried to be okay with it, I really really tried. I agreed bc I did not want him to feel trapped with me, I wanted him to be happy. But the jealousy would take over. We fought a lot. I shouldn't have been with him. I am extremely ashamed to say that I called him names a few times. This was disgusting on my part and I desperately wish I could take it back. I did not know how to handle anything, I was extremely ignorant and at times, I was cruel. He was too but that does not excuse anything that I did, ever.
Eventually I moved in with him because I had a falling out with my parents. He lived with his mom so I lived with his mom. I took on as much as I could to try to be a better girlfriend. I babysat his siblings frequently, I cleaned his house, in fact I was basically the only one who ever cleaned the house. I was basically a doormat but I was just happy because he and I could spend time in person. Eventually well... because of the open relationship thing, he wanted to sleep with his friend. (A guy btw, as I said he's bisexual). I did not like this and at times expressed straight bitterness about it, but he did not listen, said he felt he had needs that were not being met. Eventually I just gave in bc I knew i had to compromise, I let this happen. He occasionally would seem to feel guilty but not guilty enough to stop. My paranoia was still full force and I went through his phone one day. I found he had a relationship with someone about a year before I moved to be with him. I confronted him by showing him what he wrote to this person, he reacted by saying that I was treating him like a parent and it was utterly stupid. I felt helpless and I still tried to talk to him about it, I still tried to see if there was a way we didn't have to have an open relationship but he wouldn't budge about it. About a year and a half after I moved in, he met someone online and I knew, I just knew where it was heading. They were friends at the time but I knew what was going to happen. I moped, whined, argued and felt resentment. I asked him straight up if he wanted to date this person. He said he wasn't sure.
Well congrats if you've read this far because this is where shit hit the fan. His mom came in one day where the dishes had not been done. She always had an explosive temper but on this day she gave me the equivalent of a verbal lashing, saying that I sit on my ass, etc. I literally could not stand anymore and I fucking had a panic attack and snapped, saying that she nagged me all the time and that I did a lot already, which honestly is true. My boyfriend angrily told me to stop but I did not listen. His mom kicked me out and I had to stay a few days at my friend's apartment. During that time, I have never felt more alone and beaten down in my life. I know, it's my fault. I was a horrible girlfriend. He could not stand me anymore, and I don't blame him. I felt so fucking scared and alone. Eventually he came to pick me up for therapy. I will never forget opening the door and seeing him just standing there, this air about him like he was angry at me or uncertain about how I would act. I had missed him so much so I let him inside. I sat down on the couch and immediately started to cry. I was about to say "I'm sorry" but he immediately yelled at me, saying, "Why do you always cry? You're like a child in an adult's body. You cry at everything" or something like that. It hurt so much that he yelled at me, even though I deserved it for getting into it with his mom. I hugged him and I believe he said he was sorry but maybe not, I don't remember. But yeah, after that event he started saying he wanted to date this person he met online. I told him I was not good enough and that I hated myself, however he said he was and always had been polyamorous and that it was not my fault. He said he wished I could just change my mindset about it and I would probably be a lot happier. That made me angry.
Eventually I moved out back with my parents bc I just couldn't do it. It was painful. After I left he still tried to say he still wants to be with me. And that he still loves me. After about 3 months of being broken up I wanted to still be with him. So... now we're together again, except he has another partner now. This person is genuinely sweet and has a personality very similar to mine, minus the paranoia and emotional volatility. Now here is my question. I took all the blame on myself, I think I was abusive to him during the relationship. Example: Paranoia, accusing him of cheating when he wasn't at the time, sometimes name calling, expecting him to fix me. I don't want to hurt or traumatize him, I don't want to be an abusive person. I fixed my behavior and I am no longer paranoid, volatile, angry etc. I am happy for him. I gave him a proper apology, though I am starkly aware that it does not undo what I've caused, he forgave me. BTW, he never told me I was abusive, I came to this conclusion myself. After I told him this, he conceded that I'd done some abusive things. I told him that it was not his fault for how I acted and that it was because I was insecure and immature and paranoid. He said he forgives me, and that I should forgive myself, but I feel that I do not deserve forgiveness. I feel so guilty and evil. His new partner treats him way better than I ever did. I don't want to be coddled for being a shitty person. I don't want to be babied, I just feel so profoundly lost. Am I an abuser? I feel like I am. Please help me, I don't want to be bad. I feel like this is going to stick with me forever and I messed up his first relationship.
submitted by togenkyos to offmychest [link] [comments]

2020.09.07 06:05 transbianasfuck mcginn 3 month SRS megajournal

tw: botched surgeries, transphobia
hello! i am a trans girl who underwent penile inversion vaginoplasty with dr. christine mcginn in june 2020. i am 20 y/o, 1.5 yrs HRT. this is my story - complications, existential dread, and probably some stuff you’ve already heard.
complications beginning about 5-6 days post-op, i had necrosis of the top layer of my labia. it was fairly minor - the black, dead skin slowly shed and there was healthy tissue beneath so i was cleared to go home without worry. however, by day 12, it became more severe and located further into my labia and vaginal opening. everything was yellow and gooey, slowly draining out into a raw, patchy mess of a labia. it went from a snake shedding its skin to deep chunks of my vulva missing.
after about 2 months, things began healing back, but still not without aftermath. my labia are asymmetrical and weirdly shaped because the sutures helping to define them were anchored in the now dead and gone skin. in an attempt to heal, my body kept growing granulation tissue. but it kept growing and growing past what it should’ve, causing my vagina to nearly close from being so tight.
second surgery even putting aside the horrific look of the excess growth, and childbirth-like pain that dilation was now causing me (if i even could)... this was a huge problem that needed immediate attention. dr. mcginn prescribed me hydrocortisone cream to help, which didn’t. dr. powers, my pcp, instead recommended that i have surgery immediately to cut and cauterize all of the granulation tissue. needless to say this was quite traumatic, although i’m glad to report that it was a success in addressing that specific concern.
third surgery? i now am left with quite a bit of scar tissue from the hell my pussy has been through. this is an issue in particular with my vaginal opening, which now has an extremely small and thick aperture. because of this i am no longer able to even use the #1 dilator, even though there is enough diameter deeper in my vaginal canal. there is no consensus about what should happen to help with this, but all attempts to dilate have not stretched it hardly, so my non-expert opinion is that a sort-of episiotomy is in order.. in addition to fixing the aesthetic fuck ups i mentioned earlier.
aesthetics imo, my vulva looks depressing in comparison to any natal vulva. my labia minora is hardly defined so it just looks like there’s a slit in my body. all of it is a dark brown color, no pink on my labia minora. especially when standing, you can see a clear line where my mons ends and then it dips in to shrivley skin where the my vulva is. it looks like someone stamped a pad shape into me almost. you can also notice this strange shape when wearing certain underwear.
dysphoria i have none! wearing leggings, bikinis, etc now is so amazing and comfortable. it has been the silver lining keeping me moderately sane.
nonetheless i still feel very shameful about my vulva and am always uncomfortable to show partners. it’s just ugly and wrong i feel :-(
post-op depression i struggled for a few weeks after coming home for a few reasons. firstly, i was bedridden in my apt during quarantine. i couldn’t see anyone and no one wanted to see me. day to day tasks on my own wore me down physically which translated to emotional exhaustion as well.
second, i couldn’t stop thinking about surgery regret and the permanence of my surgery results. bottom surgery absolutely is still necessary for me, but maybe i should have considered other surgeons - i thought. i don’t want my genitals to be mutilated, and i initially felt strongly that they had been. less so now, but i still sometimes get depressed when i think about them.
dilating it’s a chore. you all know this, so all i’ll say is that some of the other posts of sheer misery are not being terribly overdramatic. it’s only painful for the first few minutes. otherwise it’s just tight/uncomfortable, and very time consuming. “i can’t right now, i’m dilating” will be a more commonly used phrase than you’d like. it will take some emotional strength to stick to your schedule.
the open wounds on my labia and vaginal opening made this 100x worse. the only way i was able to dilate without tapping out from pain (and i’m a masochist) is to get insanely high or take narcotics. just in case we wanted to add substance abuse issues to this shitshow. after my second surgery things are now fine pain-wise.
work from home has made the dilation schedule a bit more doable. also i would recommend finding an activity you can do with one hand to pass the time, you will get bored quick.
bedside manner there has been much talk of her bedside manner and it has had kind of a mixed consensus. initially at my consult i thought she was very sweet but direct and felt good about her patient relationships. but it later became clear that she is busy with many patients and does not have the capacity to give any individualized attention.
going into surgery we only spoke for about 2 minutes, it was all small talk so i never had a chance to ask my questions pre-op. i didn’t see her after surgery until i was ready to be discharged, my surgery buddy never got a call from her or the hospital either. after i left, i had some concerns about tearing stitches and i called the emergency number she gave. she was a bit short and dismissive that i even asked. at my first post-op appt though, she goes “i think you’re the only one i didn’t hear from this weekend!” and then proceeded to nonchalantly admit that she fucked up the way that she stitched my packing in... huh. it was stitched on my ass basically, pulling my skin a painful and concerning amount as well as covering my asshole (how am i going to shit?!). dr. powers independently noticed and was confused. once the packing came out, things were okay minus extra scars.
in retrospect, i feel much of the planning i had to do in the months leading up to surgery were not adequately informed by the office. i spent a lot of time learning from friends who are also patients of hers and just as lost as me.
i was repeatedly deadnamed in the hospital, on phone calls, and during visits despite explicitly correcting her staff and the nurses. there is also no reason for nurses to he/him me while i’m in the hospital for gender affirming surgery. i doubt this is a common experience but it still was extremely bothersome esp as this doesn’t even happen to me in my daily life these days.
further, i do not feel that she has acknowledged or properly addressed my complications - instead dismissing them as “this is just the way they heal.” to an extent, yes, it is going to be pretty damn messy for most initially. but necrosis of half the labia should not be made out as normal. so i have instead had to rely on dr. powers to tell me truthfully what’s going on with my body and how to manage it - not everyone has access to someone as knowledgeable as him. their medical advice has been contradictory to one another, making navigating things post-op even more confusing.
dr. mcginn to date will not call me back re: the most recent set of complications. because she is unwilling to even talk with me about my health (and further surgery), i’m currently exploring other surgeons.
depth at my first post-op, they used a long q-tip to measure me and it was 6”. however even that night, i was not able to get past about 5” with the #1. currently i am about 4-4.5”. they were extremely dismissive of my concerns both initially and at my 6 week appt, essentially saying “it was 6 inches, remember, so this permanent loss is your fault” and granted, i have not been dilating as aggressively as prescribed recently (due to severe pain, reliance on addictive painkillers, and physical limitations), but that doesn’t address the discrepancy on day 1 or how to proceed. i can only fit about a finger‘s worth in diameter due to more recent complications.
the others i am not the only patient of mcginn who has recently experienced this. three other friends of mine had surgery within a week of me, and two of them also have significant necrosis, excess growth, and a small/scarred aperture. this doesn’t seem like a coincidence to me, especially considering as necrosis is sometimes caused by tight sutures cutting off blood flow. i do not want to speak for them, however, as i know they feel quite differently about dr. mcginn than i do.
recovery at home it took some time to be able to do basic things like shower, cook, and walk long distances again. after 4 weeks, i comfortably went back to my desk job full-time (from home bc covid). currently, my energy levels are normal and general pain is occasional/minimal. even with the complications, there is hardly anything too painful to do (besides dilation, ugh).
sex yes, i am sensate. thank god my clit is fully intact and unproblematic. my libido has gone down a bit but it still is there, probably thanks to progesterone. but no, i haven’t orgasmed yet. i’ve felt like i’m super close though. i’m extremely tight so i‘m terrified of penetrative sex, but getting fingered is fun if we’re careful. i always bleed slightly when we do. oh and wow, the gender euphoria!!!
also the whole “you need to use a ton of lube since you can’t get wet” is kind of bullshit (based on my experience ofc). i am dripping wet when i get fingered w/o lube, to the point that i have to put a towel down lmao.
cost $23,100 for surgery, hospital, and anesthesia. plus another $2,500 or so for travel accommodations. michigan medicaid refused to cover surgery or meds because she is out of state, even though SRS is a part of my plan. i didn’t become aware of the insurance denial until 3 weeks before surgery - after i had paid over half of my surgery, expecting for it to come back in a reimbursement. i had to take out long-term personal loans to help pay for everything.
wait list i called in feb 2020, got an in person consult for the following week, at which point i put down a $3,500 deposit to schedule my surgery for june 2020.
coronavirus my surgery date was unaffected by coronavirus, however there were two key policy changes: i flew into the area several days early to be tested (nasal swab not sinus), and was not allowed to have visitors in the hospital.
hair removal i did not do genital electrolysis/laser and have not had issues. but it also may be too early to tell.
stopping hormones i also did not stop hormones, which was dr. mcginn’s instruction. however this is not true of most of her patients.
feel free to comment or DM if you have questions not addressed here. <3
submitted by transbianasfuck to Transgender_Surgeries [link] [comments]

2020.09.04 23:11 NoMoreNicksLeft Identifying retail ebooks/epubs

This will be a preliminary guide on distinguishing retail/official epub files from amateuwarez scans of printed books. Some of you may not care one way or the other, and you may safely skip this article. For others, we prefer more professionally designed books (though, given the output of the big publishing companies sometimes they do little better than the people on #bookz).


The Epub standard (and a few others) actually go back to the late 1990s. And it would seem that publishing companies very soon afterward started to offer digital books for sale. I've only begun my research, so I can't tell you exactly what payment methods they used (alot of that infrastructure just wasn't there yet in the 90s), or whether they farmed this stuff off to subsidiaries, but I can offer an example. Season of the Machete by James Patterson is floating around out there with this entry in the colophon:
First eBook Edition: April 1995 
I was under the impression that 1998 or 1999 would have been a more reasonable "first retail ebook". Of course, this could be a typo, but I've found a few 1996s and 1997s out there too. The date doesn't necessarily mean that this was an epub format book, there are others out there. The information on this stuff is rather bare-bones on wikipedia and other sites, so I'm still sort of guessing.

Big Five Publishing Companies

The "Big 5" refers to those book publishers in the United States that publish most of the (print) books in North America. They are in no particular order:
  1. Hachette Book Group
  2. Harper Collins
  3. MacMillan
  4. Penguin Random House
  5. Simon and Schuster
There are other smaller publishers, some only publishing digitally. These are important for anyone looking to fill in a back catalog of stuff that's been out of print forever... they tend to license those works from the estates of the authors, or from the Big 5, and typeset ebooks (and the quality's a little higher on average than the big publishers).
There are also "imprints". Think of these as the "Chevrolet" to GM. They are merely brands that are owned by the Big 5 (though they may have been their own companies years ago).
Some of those (and you can tell I lean heavily towards nerd literature) are:
Tor (MacMillan) Bantam (Penguin Random House) Ballatine (Penguin Random House) Ace (Penguin Random House) Berkeley (Penguin Random House)
And of course, there are publishers outside of the US that will be important too. Though again, I'm tending to see mostly those that deal with science fiction (Orion, Gollancz, etc).

Telltale Signs

Retail ebooks have been published for the last 25 years, by a vast number of different entities, in at least a few different formats. The only thing that is universal, is the laziness and disdain they have had for the digital world. Whereas their print books are carefully designed to be visually appealing to stand out, they have apparently felt no such obligation for the nerds who'd dare read this stuff on a screen. I've only seen evidence of them including cover images for titles released since 2017 (plus/minus a year)... these tend to include the same cover art as the paperback release.


There are several generic covers that they've used in the past. These are included as images in the epub file (so as to bloat its size), differing only in the title text printed across them. I include examples here:
Random House - Thanks to ajshell1.
St. Martin's Press
MacMillan - Thanks to ajshell1.
Anchor Publishing
Crown Journeys
Vintage - Thanks to ajshell1.
Harper Collins - Thanks to ajshell1.
Modern Library - Thanks to ajshell1.
Random House - Thanks to ajshell1.
The presence of one of these cover images is 99% confidence a retail release.
If you open the epub in an editor, a cover page titled "titlepage.xhtml" is probably the result of the Calibre ebook editor application. This simply means that someone else who got to the file first added art, but it doesn't much help you determine whether the book is retail or not. In some cases, if it removed the generic cover as above, it makes it harder to determine if it is retail.

Title pages

Many of the publishing companies include an image version of the title page (the page that has the title, author's name, and possibly the publisher's log at the bottom). This image is often in black text on white background but also occasionally grayscale. Tend to see this for books released back into the early 2000s, on up to about 2017 or so (they're tending to use html for the title page now, which should play better with dark mode).
I'll present a few examples:
The presence of a title page image almost certainly indicates that it is a retail ebook (98% confidence), though with the transition to html title pages, this will still leave some things ambiguous.


The absence of a colophon shouldn't lead you to believe it's non-retail. Early ebooks seemed to leave this out (which is bizarre, considering how fanatical they are about those things). However, the presence of a colophon page that says "first ebook edition" or has an "eISBN" number is conclusive (obviously). eISBNs are always 13 digit.
If it lists only the ISBN number, this does not disprove that it's retail. But you also need to consider that amateurs who scan these things scan the actual page, and include those in their output. These tend to be the 10 digit ISBN numbers however.

Internal Fonts

Epub format allows for including font files internally, so as to make the book prettier. I've yet to find a clearly amateur work that includes them... but if you're pirating books, fontface piracy doesn't seem beyond the pale. Maybe it's too much effort.
If there are internal fonts, this is a good (90% confidence) indicator that it's retail. But again, publishers didn't always include these (and often still don't).

Other Signs

Baen Books (independent science fiction publisher) was one of the earliest to start offering epub format books. And they partnered with some company/entity called "Webscription". Their later ebooks make it clear that those are retail inside the colophon. But the earliest ones simply have decent formatting with a link to "" at the end of the content (and the book won't have any back matter or appendices, generally).
Fantasy books that include maps will often have the maps scanned in as black and white images at the front of the ebook. These images will be clear and crisp (and the white background is #FFFFFF bright), tending to indicate that it wasn't scanned in from second-hand copy bought at the used bookstore. I'm 90% confident that when I see these, it's retail.
submitted by NoMoreNicksLeft to datacurator [link] [comments]

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